DAILY MARKET REPORT: FIXED INCOME, MONEY MARKET AND FX – JULY 18 2017

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“News Update:
Annual inflation in Nigeria eased for a fifth straight month in June, slowing to 16.1 percent form 16.25 percent in the month of May, the NBS said in its inflation report released today. A separate food price index however showed inflation at 19.91 per- cent, up from 19.27 percent in May, indicating continued pressure on food prices.”

“The bond market traded on a quiet note in today’s session as mar- ket players remained unmoved by the lower MoM inflation figure (16.1%) which was not far from market expectation. Consequently, yields stayed flat across maturities. We expect slight improve- ments in market activity tomorrow as market players look to rein- vest proceeds from the c.N93.49Billion bond coupon payments credited today/tomorrow.

The T-Bills market also traded on a relatively flat note with mini- mal activities recorded as the CBN continued with its OMO issu- ance in today’s session. Consequently, yields rose marginally by 5bps across the curve. We expect the market to continue with its current trend as the CBN maintains a tight monetary stance.

The OBB and O/N rates slid lower in today’s session to close at 6.17% and 6.92%. This was due to improvement in market liquidity which is estimated at N62billion as at close of business today. We expect rates to trend southward tomorrow on the backdrop of N65billion cash inflow from bond coupon payments.”

ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Inflation (YoY)16.10%
Exchange Rate ($)N305.90
MPR14.00%
Foreign Reserves$30.36Bn
Brent Crude$48.84

 

FGN Bonds
DescriptionBid (%)Offer (%)Day Change (%)
16.00 29-Jun-1916.6016.53(0.01)
15.54 13-Feb-2016.4216.350.00
14.50 15-Jul-2116.3016.23(0.01)
16.39 27-Jan-2216.1616.09(0.01)
14.20 14-Mar-2416.0615.990.00
12.50 22-Jan-2616.2916.22(0.03)
16.29 17-Mar-2716.2616.19(0.01)
12.15 18-Jul-3416.0916.020.00
12.40 18-Mar-3616.0716.000.00
16.25 18-Apr-3716.2416.170.00
Treasury Bills
DescriptionBid (%)Offer (%)Day Change (%)
3-Aug-1717.7517.500.50
14-Sep-1717.0016.75(0.25)
19-Oct-1715.0014.750.75
2-Nov-1718.8018.55(0.15)
7-Dec-1718.7518.500.00
4-Jan-1818.7518.50(0.15)
1-Feb-1818.7018.450.00
1-Mar-1818.7018.450.00
5-Apr-1818.7018.450.00
3-May-1818.7018.450.00
14-Jun-1818.7018.450.00
5-Jul-1818.6018.35(0.10)

 

Eurobonds
IssuerDescriptionYield (%)Day Change (%)
FGN6.38 12-Jul-235.91(0.07)
FGN7.875 16-Feb-326.96(0.05)
First Bank6.488 23-Jul-2110.820.02
Eco bank8.75 14-Aug-2111.920.01
Access Bank10.50 19-Oct-218.500.00
Zenith Bank7.375 30-May-227.95(0.01)
UBA7.75 8-Jun-228.820.00

 

Money Market Rates
 Current (%)Previous (%)
Open Buy Back (OBB)6.179.00
Overnight (O/N)6.929.75
FX Market
 Current (N/$)Previous ( N/$)
Interbank305.90305.90
CBN SMIS320.00320.00
I&E FX Window362.21362.83
Parallel Market365.00364.50
                             Primary Market Auction  Results                                
NTB  – 19 July 2017
TenorOffer (N’bn)Expected Rate (%)
91 days36.7913.40 – 13.50
182 days39.1817.40 – 17.60
364 days129.0018.50 – 18.65
FGN Bonds – 12 July 2017
TenorRate (%)Offer (N’bn)Sub (N’bn)Sale (N’bn)
Jun-2116.240035.009.103.90
Mar-2716.250050.0055.3147.01
Apr-3716.251450.0064.7555.05
OMO – 17 July 2017
TenorRate (%)Offer (NBn)Sub (N’bn)Sale (N’bn)
185 day17.955.006.296.29
346 day18.5550.0014.5014.50

Sources: FMDQ, CBN, Bloomberg, Zedcrest research