DAILY MARKET REPORT: FIXED INCOME, MONEY MARKET AND FX – JULY 27 2017

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“News Update:
A week after the Paris Club refund was disbursed, the three tiers of government yes- terday shared a windfall of N652.229 billion as statutory revenue for this month. Of the N652.229 billion shared, the Federal Government got the lion share of N286.650 billion, states-N178.619 billion and local government councils-N134.927 billion. Oil producing states got N29.894 billion as 13 per cent derivation. – The Nation”

“The bond market was bullish today in reaction to the status quo stance of the MPC. Yields on most maturities experienced slight retracements with a marginal decline of 2bps across the curve. We expect demand to filter into the market tomorrow as market players seek to reinvest proceeds from FGN bond maturities and coupon payments of N70billion.

The T-bills market traded on a slightly bullish note with demand skewed towards the short end (-11bps average). The medium and long end were scantily traded as the CBN continued with its OMO auction in today’s ses- sion. The CBN sold a total of N160million (190day) and N74.51billion (344day) OMO bills with rates maintained at 17.95% and 18.55%. We expect the market to remain bullish tomorrow on the backdrop of ex- pected cash inflows into the money market.

The OBB and O/N rates eased slightly to 15.17% and 16% despite an esti- mated decline in market liquidity to about N77billion negative. There is a possibility that commercial banks funded their deficits at cheaper rates from the CBN’s SLF window which moderated the funding rates. We ex- pect rates to trend southwards tomorrow due to expected inflows from bond maturity and coupon payments (N70.59billion), OMO maturities (N65billion) and FAAC disbursements of c.N313billion.”

ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Inflation (YoY) 16.10%
Exchange Rate ($) N305.70
MPR 14.00%
Foreign Reserves $30.57Bn
Brent Crude $50.60

 

FGN Bonds
Description Bid (%) Offer (%) Day Change (%)
16.00 29-Jun-19 16.76 16.69 (0.03)
15.54 13-Feb-20 16.57 16.50 (0.05)
14.50 15-Jul-21 16.38 16.31 0.00
16.39 27-Jan-22 16.21 16.14 (0.04)
14.20 14-Mar-24 16.27 16.20 (0.05)
12.50 22-Jan-26 16.27 16.20 (0.03)
16.29 17-Mar-27 16.30 16.23 0.03
12.15 18-Jul-34 16.20 16.13 0.00
12.40 18-Mar-36 16.20 16.13 (0.03)
16.25 18-Apr-37 16.32 16.25 (0.01)
Treasury Bills
Description Bid (%) Offer (%) Day Change (%)
2-Nov-17 18.35 18.10 (0.05)
7-Dec-17 18.10 17.85 (0.45)
4-Jan-18 18.55 18.30 0.05
1-Feb-18 18.05 17.80 (0.05)
1-Mar-18 18.15 17.90 0.00
5-Apr-18 18.50 18.25 (0.05)
3-May-18 18.50 18.25 0.00
14-Jun-18 18.50 18.25 0.00
5-Jul-18 18.60 18.35 0.10

 

Money Market Rates
  Current (%) Previous (%)
Open Buy Back (OBB) 15.17 18.33
Overnight (O/N) 16.00 19.17
FX Market
  Current (N/$) Previous ( N/$)
Interbank 305.70 305.75
CBN SMIS 320.00 320.00
I&E FX Window 368.60 369.50
Parallel Market 362.50 362.80
                             Primary Market Auction  Results   
NTB  – 19 July 2017
Tenor Rate (%) Offer (N’bn) Sub (N’bn) Sale (N’bn)
91 days 13.4250 36.79 33.61 32.40
182 days 17.3989 39.18 27.43 26.60
364 days 18.5490 129.00 254.24 145.96
FGN Bonds – 12 July 2017
Tenor Rate (%) Offer (N’bn) Sub (N’bn) Sale (N’bn)
Jun-21 16.2400 35.00 9.10 3.90
Mar-27 16.2500 50.00 55.31 47.01
Apr-37 16.2514 50.00 64.75 55.05
OMO – 26 July 2017
Tenor Rate (%) Offer (NBn) Sub (N’bn) Sale (N’bn)
190 day 17.949 10.00 0.16 0.16
344 day 18.55 50.00 74.51 74.51

 

Eurobonds
Issuer Description Yield (%) Day Change (%)
FGN 6.38 12-Jul-23 5.72 0.01
FGN 7.875 16-Feb-32 6.83 (0.01)
First Bank 6.488 23-Jul-21 10.64 (0.15)
Eco bank 8.75 14-Aug-21 11.78 (0.03)
Access Bank 10.50 19-Oct-21 8.45 0.01
Zenith Bank 7.375 30-May-22 7.84 0.00
UBA 7.75 8-Jun-22 8.40 (0.04)