Inflation, Rolling with the Punches “Border closure, Lower interest rates…”

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Based on our survey, headline inflation for November is projected to increase to 11.88% from 11.61% in October. In the last six months, headline inflation has increased for three months. If our projections are accurate, it will be the fourth month of rising inflation.

Inflation, Rolling with the Punches “Border closure, Lower interest rates…” - Brand Spur

In recent times, there have been more factors stoking inflationary pressure, despite the recent growth in output recorded in Q3 (2.28%). Factors such as the border closure, lower interest rates and increased liquidity have impacted negatively on the consumer price index. The border closure has led to a spike in the prices of commodities such as rice, chicken, and turkey while lower interest rates are a disincentive to save. The average yield on T/bills is now 4.24% below headline inflation, resulting in a negative real rate of return.
Hence people are likely to spend rather than save. This has increased the demand for goods. The level of liquidity has also increased as reflected in the 3.95% increase in the credit to the private sector.

Although, the CBN has achieved the dual objectives of lower interest rates and higher loan extension to the private sector, heightened inflationary pressures and the steady depletion of the external reserves could trigger a change in policy in the near term.

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Month-on-Month Inflation Expected to stay flat at 1.06%

The month-on-month inflation (a more relevant measure of prices) is projected to remain flat at 1.06% (13.49% annualized) in November. Commodity prices moved in different directions in November, while tomatoes and pepper declined, garri and rice recorded price increases.

Inflation, Rolling with the Punches “Border closure, Lower interest rates…” - Brand Spur

Determinants of Inflation

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Money Supply

Money supply is a key determinant of the general price level. In October, M2 grew at an annualized rate of 2.07% to N27.63trn. We anticipate a further increase in broad money supply in November as banks increase lending to creditworthy customers in a bid to meet up with the CBN’s 65% LDR directives. In November, OMO maturities surpassed total OMO sales (N849.31billion), resulting in a net inflow of N1.05trillion.

Read Also:  Headline Inflation to Reach 18.77% in April 2021

Interest Rates

While the anchor rate (MPR) has been left unchanged at 13.5%p.a since March 2019, the CBN’s unorthodox policies have seen lending rates declined by an average of 400 basis points in the last four months. Lower interest rates incentivize consumers and corporates to borrow more, thus increasing the amount of money in circulation. This is evidenced by the spike in credit to the private sector to N25.80trn in October from N24.82trn in August. Currency in circulation increased to N2.06trn in October from N2.02trn in August.

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Exchange rate

The exchange rate was relatively stable across all market segments in November. At the parallel market, the naira traded between N359/$-N360/$. Exchange rate stability is expected to have a positive impact on core inflation which is expected to decline marginally to 8.86% from 8.88% in October.

Peer Comparison – inflationary pressures across Sub-Saharan Africa

Regional inflationary trends have been increasing in the past months. Three of the six SSA countries under our review have released their inflation figures for November, all posting increases. Rising food prices were a common factor responsible for the uptick in inflation. With the unfavourable weather condition across the African region, flood and storms have affected farm produce in countries such as Kenya and Uganda, leading to reduced food supply and higher prices.

With the exception of Kenya and Uganda, all the SSA countries under our review kept their benchmark interest rates unchanged at their respective MPC meetings.

Inflation, Rolling with the Punches “Border closure, Lower interest rates…” - Brand Spur

Outlook: Festive demand to heighten inflationary pressures

We expect commodity prices to increase in the next few weeks due to increased seasonal demand. The increase in price could be further exacerbated by the impact of the border closure. In addition, the minimum wage payment, especially in Lagos, will boost consumer disposable income and increase aggregate demand.

Hence, headline inflation will most likely increase in December.

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Latest News

Inflation, Rolling with the Punches “Border closure, Lower interest rates…” - Brand Spur

Mead Johnson Nutrition HK Launches “We CAN Protect the Future” –...

Enabling parents and children to build a greener world by taking their first steps in recycling formula cans

 

HONG KONG SAR - Media OutReach - 10 May 2021 - To encourage Hong Kong citizens to lead greener lives, Mead Johnson Nutrition Hong Kong ("Mead Johnson"), one of the brands under Reckitt Benckiser ("Reckitt"), officially launched its city-wide "We CAN Protect the Future" Formula Cans Recycling Program in early April. Created in partnership with 24-hour online shopping platform, HKTVmall under Hong Kong Television Network Limited ("HKTVmall") and the World Green Organisation ("WGO"), the program aims to raise awareness among the public on the importance of recycling and urge parents to safeguard the future of their children by taking immediate actions to protect the environment and be the role models of green living.


Inflation, Rolling with the Punches “Border closure, Lower interest rates…” - Brand Spur

According to a recent survey, only around 30% of interviewed parents would recycle the used formula cans in Hong Kong[1]. With collection points at 6 HKTVmall O2O Shops across the city, the Program offers consumers easy access to a reliable channel to recycle and transform their used formula cans into useful raw materials to reduce waste and protect our environment.

The Program accepts cleaned formula cans from all brands and rewards participating parents with HKTVmall e-vouchers that can be used for online purchase[2]. To ensure proper storage and transportation of all collected cans, all brand logos and brand names will be erased before a specialized delivery team transports the cans from HKTVmall O2O Shops to a local recycling plant. The cans will then be destructed and shipped to another facility for further processing. Molten metal will be recycled into raw metal materials for different purposes, such as for construction use.

"Reckitt is driven by its purpose, do the right things, always. Mead Johnson as one for the core brands of Reckitt also upholds this mission, it not only provides high-quality nutrition products, but has been working hand in hand with our consumers to safeguard the environment and nourish the best start in life for more than a century," said Mr. Pankaj Agarwal, Reckitt's General Manager Hong Kong, Taiwan & Cross-Border. "Through the partnership with HKTVmall and WGO to offer a convenient and reliable recycling channel, we hope to empower parents and their children to build recycling habits at an early stage, and hence create a cleaner, healthier world."

Ms. Jelly Zhou, Chief Executive Officer (Hong Kong) at Hong Kong Television Network Limited, added, "HKTVmall is committed to enhancing Hong Kong people's quality of life via innovative technologies. We also highly value social responsibility in promoting a culture of environmental protection and resource conservation. Through this partnership with Mead Johnson and WGO, it not only endows a value to the used items through reducing wastage and promote recycling awareness, but also spread the message of environmental protection to everyone. Let us make changes in our daily lives with everybody's joint efforts, encourage sustainable development for Hong Kong and all over the world." HKTVmall, as co-organiser of the Program, shares their store networks to facilitate the mechanism of the recycling process. It helps mobilizing Hong Kong citizens to join the program in different areas simultaneously and promoting recycling in the city.

WGO acts as the supporting organisation to provide professional advice on improving the overall can recycling experience in this Program. "WGO is pleased to drive the formula cans recycling programme with Mead Johnson and HKTVmall" said Dr. William Yu, Founder & Chief Executive Officer of World Green Organisation. "We look forward to seeing different stakeholders in society, including manufacturers, retailers and the public to join hands and promote recycling, and facilitating a green future for our next generation."

The "We CAN Protect the Future" Formula Can Recycling Programme runs every Monday and Wednesday, from now until 30th June 2021.

For more details, please visit: https://cloud.marketing.hktvmall.com/canrecycle2021


[1] Baby Kingdom Online Survey on formula can recycling habits (2019)

[2] From 7th April to 30th June, participants can redeem an e-voucher (HKTVmall HK$50 Dettol Product or HK$200 Mead Johnson Nutrition Selected Product) for every successful return of a cleaned formula can, up to four e-vouchers per day. Distribution of e-vouchers may vary depending on availability at different shops. E-vouchers are available on a first-come, first-served basis while stocks last and check with the on-duty staff for details on collection day. Offers are subject to Terms and Conditions and can be found here: https://bit.ly/3mtsEJU

About Mead Johnson Nutrition

Mead Johnson Nutrition has been established in 1905. For more than a century, Mead Johnson Nutrition has led the way in developing safe, high-quality, innovative pediatric nutrition products, guided by the mission to nourish the world's children for the best start in life. The brand operates Mead Johnson Pediatric Nutrition Institutes worldwide. These centers connect Mead Johnson Nutrition's researchers to scientists and healthcare professionals around the world, putting the brand at the forefront of pediatric nutrition science.

Mead Johnson Nutrition (Hong Kong) Limited has been landed for a half century, providing Hong Kong parents with high quality, science-based products, various parenting information and professional advice, gaining trust and support from parents.

Mead Johnson Nutrition's scientists and healthcare professionals are paying affords on the formula for children with special nutrition needs and Mead Johnson Nutrition is a very few brands that insists to produce the formula for metabolic disorders' children, giving hopes to them.

For more information visit http://www.meadjohnson.com.hk/

About Reckitt

Reckitt* exists to protect, heal and nurture in the relentless pursuit of a cleaner, healthier world. We believe that access to the highest-quality hygiene, wellness and nourishment is a right, not a privilege.

Reckitt is the company behind some of the world's most recognisable and trusted consumer brands in hygiene, health and nutrition, including Air Wick, Calgon, Cillit Bang, Clearasil, Dettol, Durex, Enfamil, Finish, Gaviscon, Harpic, Lysol, Mortein, Mucinex, Nurofen, Nutramigen, Strepsils, Vanish, Veet, Woolite and more.

Read Also:  Superior Taste Drives Consumer Preference For Chi Exotic Nectar

Every day, more than 20 million Reckitt products are bought globally. We always put consumers and people first, seek out new opportunities, strive for excellence in all that we do and build shared success with all our partners. We aim to do the right thing, always.

We are a diverse global team of more than 43,000 colleagues. We draw on our collective energy to meet our ambitions of purpose-led brands, a healthier planet and a fairer society.

Find out more, or get in touch with us at www.reckitt.com

*Reckitt is the trading name of the Reckitt Benckiser group of companies

About Hong Kong Television Network Limited

Hong Kong Television Network Limited is a Hong Kong-listed company (SEHK: 1137).

Established in 1992, the Group has extensive and successful experience in telecom market liberalization and popularizing advanced technology and applications.

The Company is now developing Hong Kong's largest 24-hour online shopping mall, HKTVmall, which provides one-stop shop services including online shopping, marketing & digital advertising, big data analysis, smart logistics & fulfilment as well as physical O2O stores, and to transform all business operation, trading, retail, finance and daily life onto a single digital online platform. For more information, visit www.hktv.com.hk.

About World Green Organisation

The World Green Organisation (WGO) is an independent non-governmental organisation concerned with environmental conservation and environmentally related livelihood and economic affairs. It provides a holistic approach to a fully integrated three-pronged solution that combines social, environmental and economic dimensions for a paradigm shift towards low-carbon and climate-resilient development pathways.

Through science-based policy research and community projects, the WGO aims to enhance the quality of the environment, promote a greener economy, and improve people's livelihoods. In particular, it will focus on the social concerns of underprivileged groups and on the creation of a green economy, to help realise its vision of sustainable development. For more information, visit www.thewgo.org/website/eng/.

Inflation, Rolling with the Punches “Border closure, Lower interest rates…” - Brand Spur
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Latest News

Mead Johnson Nutrition HK Launches “We CAN Protect the Future” – Formula Cans Recycling Program with HKTVmall and World Green Organisation

Enabling parents and children to build a greener world by taking their first steps in recycling formula cans

 

HONG KONG SAR - Media OutReach - 10 May 2021 - To encourage Hong Kong citizens to lead greener lives, Mead Johnson Nutrition Hong Kong ("Mead Johnson"), one of the brands under Reckitt Benckiser ("Reckitt"), officially launched its city-wide "We CAN Protect the Future" Formula Cans Recycling Program in early April. Created in partnership with 24-hour online shopping platform, HKTVmall under Hong Kong Television Network Limited ("HKTVmall") and the World Green Organisation ("WGO"), the program aims to raise awareness among the public on the importance of recycling and urge parents to safeguard the future of their children by taking immediate actions to protect the environment and be the role models of green living.


Inflation, Rolling with the Punches “Border closure, Lower interest rates…” - Brand Spur

According to a recent survey, only around 30% of interviewed parents would recycle the used formula cans in Hong Kong[1]. With collection points at 6 HKTVmall O2O Shops across the city, the Program offers consumers easy access to a reliable channel to recycle and transform their used formula cans into useful raw materials to reduce waste and protect our environment.

The Program accepts cleaned formula cans from all brands and rewards participating parents with HKTVmall e-vouchers that can be used for online purchase[2]. To ensure proper storage and transportation of all collected cans, all brand logos and brand names will be erased before a specialized delivery team transports the cans from HKTVmall O2O Shops to a local recycling plant. The cans will then be destructed and shipped to another facility for further processing. Molten metal will be recycled into raw metal materials for different purposes, such as for construction use.

"Reckitt is driven by its purpose, do the right things, always. Mead Johnson as one for the core brands of Reckitt also upholds this mission, it not only provides high-quality nutrition products, but has been working hand in hand with our consumers to safeguard the environment and nourish the best start in life for more than a century," said Mr. Pankaj Agarwal, Reckitt's General Manager Hong Kong, Taiwan & Cross-Border. "Through the partnership with HKTVmall and WGO to offer a convenient and reliable recycling channel, we hope to empower parents and their children to build recycling habits at an early stage, and hence create a cleaner, healthier world."

Ms. Jelly Zhou, Chief Executive Officer (Hong Kong) at Hong Kong Television Network Limited, added, "HKTVmall is committed to enhancing Hong Kong people's quality of life via innovative technologies. We also highly value social responsibility in promoting a culture of environmental protection and resource conservation. Through this partnership with Mead Johnson and WGO, it not only endows a value to the used items through reducing wastage and promote recycling awareness, but also spread the message of environmental protection to everyone. Let us make changes in our daily lives with everybody's joint efforts, encourage sustainable development for Hong Kong and all over the world." HKTVmall, as co-organiser of the Program, shares their store networks to facilitate the mechanism of the recycling process. It helps mobilizing Hong Kong citizens to join the program in different areas simultaneously and promoting recycling in the city.

WGO acts as the supporting organisation to provide professional advice on improving the overall can recycling experience in this Program. "WGO is pleased to drive the formula cans recycling programme with Mead Johnson and HKTVmall" said Dr. William Yu, Founder & Chief Executive Officer of World Green Organisation. "We look forward to seeing different stakeholders in society, including manufacturers, retailers and the public to join hands and promote recycling, and facilitating a green future for our next generation."

The "We CAN Protect the Future" Formula Can Recycling Programme runs every Monday and Wednesday, from now until 30th June 2021.

For more details, please visit: https://cloud.marketing.hktvmall.com/canrecycle2021


[1] Baby Kingdom Online Survey on formula can recycling habits (2019)

[2] From 7th April to 30th June, participants can redeem an e-voucher (HKTVmall HK$50 Dettol Product or HK$200 Mead Johnson Nutrition Selected Product) for every successful return of a cleaned formula can, up to four e-vouchers per day. Distribution of e-vouchers may vary depending on availability at different shops. E-vouchers are available on a first-come, first-served basis while stocks last and check with the on-duty staff for details on collection day. Offers are subject to Terms and Conditions and can be found here: https://bit.ly/3mtsEJU

About Mead Johnson Nutrition

Mead Johnson Nutrition has been established in 1905. For more than a century, Mead Johnson Nutrition has led the way in developing safe, high-quality, innovative pediatric nutrition products, guided by the mission to nourish the world's children for the best start in life. The brand operates Mead Johnson Pediatric Nutrition Institutes worldwide. These centers connect Mead Johnson Nutrition's researchers to scientists and healthcare professionals around the world, putting the brand at the forefront of pediatric nutrition science.

Mead Johnson Nutrition (Hong Kong) Limited has been landed for a half century, providing Hong Kong parents with high quality, science-based products, various parenting information and professional advice, gaining trust and support from parents.

Mead Johnson Nutrition's scientists and healthcare professionals are paying affords on the formula for children with special nutrition needs and Mead Johnson Nutrition is a very few brands that insists to produce the formula for metabolic disorders' children, giving hopes to them.

For more information visit http://www.meadjohnson.com.hk/

About Reckitt

Reckitt* exists to protect, heal and nurture in the relentless pursuit of a cleaner, healthier world. We believe that access to the highest-quality hygiene, wellness and nourishment is a right, not a privilege.

Reckitt is the company behind some of the world's most recognisable and trusted consumer brands in hygiene, health and nutrition, including Air Wick, Calgon, Cillit Bang, Clearasil, Dettol, Durex, Enfamil, Finish, Gaviscon, Harpic, Lysol, Mortein, Mucinex, Nurofen, Nutramigen, Strepsils, Vanish, Veet, Woolite and more.

Every day, more than 20 million Reckitt products are bought globally. We always put consumers and people first, seek out new opportunities, strive for excellence in all that we do and build shared success with all our partners. We aim to do the right thing, always.

We are a diverse global team of more than 43,000 colleagues. We draw on our collective energy to meet our ambitions of purpose-led brands, a healthier planet and a fairer society.

Find out more, or get in touch with us at www.reckitt.com

*Reckitt is the trading name of the Reckitt Benckiser group of companies

About Hong Kong Television Network Limited

Hong Kong Television Network Limited is a Hong Kong-listed company (SEHK: 1137).

Established in 1992, the Group has extensive and successful experience in telecom market liberalization and popularizing advanced technology and applications.

The Company is now developing Hong Kong's largest 24-hour online shopping mall, HKTVmall, which provides one-stop shop services including online shopping, marketing & digital advertising, big data analysis, smart logistics & fulfilment as well as physical O2O stores, and to transform all business operation, trading, retail, finance and daily life onto a single digital online platform. For more information, visit www.hktv.com.hk.

About World Green Organisation

The World Green Organisation (WGO) is an independent non-governmental organisation concerned with environmental conservation and environmentally related livelihood and economic affairs. It provides a holistic approach to a fully integrated three-pronged solution that combines social, environmental and economic dimensions for a paradigm shift towards low-carbon and climate-resilient development pathways.

Through science-based policy research and community projects, the WGO aims to enhance the quality of the environment, promote a greener economy, and improve people's livelihoods. In particular, it will focus on the social concerns of underprivileged groups and on the creation of a green economy, to help realise its vision of sustainable development. For more information, visit www.thewgo.org/website/eng/.

Inflation, Rolling with the Punches “Border closure, Lower interest rates…” - Brand Spur
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