Sterling Bank’s Performance Succumbs to Pressure in Q1:2020

Must Read

Countries With The Highest Number Of Billionaires! See Nigeria’s Position!

These days, when new business opportunities are appearing every day, there is no shortage of billionaires around the world....

List of Guaranty Trust Bank Sort Codes & Branches (with addresses) in Nigeria

The sort code is a number that usually identifies both the bank and the branch where an account is...

How To Block Your Bank Account And SIM Card In Case Of Emergency

Losing your phone and wallet or having them stolen can be very frustrating. However, in case that happens to...

Earnings Constrained by Weak Asset Growth

Sterling Bank’s gross earnings fell considerably by 6.67% YoY to NGN32.92bn in Q1:2020. Interest income which constitutes a major part of gross income (c.87%) declined by 7.77% YoY to NGN28.40bn. For this, we acknowledge the impact of regulatory headwinds on the bank’s core business earnings however, the decline in interest-earning assets (-13.86% YTD to NGN1.21trn) was also a significant downside factor. Much of the growth in the bank’s balance sheet was sterilized in additional cash reserves with CBN (totalling NGN71.50bn), as result of the hike in Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR), leaving little room for expansion of interest-earning assets. On the flip side, non-interest income inched upwards (+0.89% YoY) to NGN4.52bn. This was supported by trading gains (+126.21% YoY), due to the higher prices of its debt securities in the secondary market albeit, the downward revision of bank charges led to a decline (-19.24% YoY) in gross fees and commission income to NGN3.95bn. In view of the significant impediments to topline growth viz. regulatory risks, weak asset growth, and COVID-19-induced recessionary pressures, we project a modest (-1.60% YoY) contraction in gross earnings for 2020FY.

Income Losses Overshadow Cost Gains

Cost of funds declined to 5.10% (vs. 6.60% in Q1:2019), owing to the bank’s growing preference for cheaper funding – CASA mix improved to 64.00% (vs. 60.00% in Q1:2019). The lower funding costs, however, did not translate to an expansion in net interest margin as the fall in asset yield (from 14.40% in Q1:2019 to 12.90%) eroded all gains. Hence, net interest margin contracted to 7.70% (vs. 7.80% in Q1:2019). Furthermore, the spike (+41.04% YoY) in impairment charges to NGN1.19bn increased pressure on bottom-line performance. It should, however, be noted that higher impairment charges have been observed across the industry in Q1:2020, due to a worsening in the country’s macroeconomic conditions. Operating cost inefficiency remains a major drag on the bank’s performance, as operating expenses (OPEX) advanced further by 8.29% YoY, while Cost-to income ratio also ticked up to 82.90%, from 78.80% in Q1:2019. Consequently, both Profit Before Tax (PBT) and Profit after tax (PAT) fell by 32.20% YoY and 36.27% YoY to NGN2.22bn and NGN2.07bn, respectively. Going forward, we expect its reduced funding cost and a slightly lower OPEX growth (due to the impact of COVID-19) to offset the impact of depressed earnings and higher impairment charges, which should keep bottom line afloat.

Read Also:  Why Your Presentation Needs Video—And 4 Simple Steps to Make it Happen
- Advertisement -

CRR Debits Threaten Liquidity Position

As indicated earlier, the higher CRR debits (NGN71.50bn) incurred during the period significantly raised its effective CRR to 21.55% (from 13.68% in 2019FY) and drove net operating cash flows for the period deep into negative territory (- NGN62.88bn). Consequently, its liquidity ratio fell to 32.10% (vs. 39.50% in 2019FY), marginally above the regulatory benchmark (30%). We view the further decline in the bank’s non-performing loan ratio to 2.00% (from. 2.20% in 2019FY), as a welcome development given the weak economic backdrop. All other prudential ratios stayed above regulatory benchmarks.

Read Also:  JAMB Releases 2019 UTME Results Today

Recommendation

We maintain our muted outlook for the bank in 2020FY in view of the anticipated consequences of COVID-19 on the general economy. Its lower earning asset base, tight liquidity position and high operating cost profile do not offer any competitive advantages. Thus, we revise our target P/E for the bank to 4.58x (prev. 4.71x) and its expected EPS to NGN0.36 (prev. NGN0.39). This yields a Target Price of NGN1.65, indicating an upside potential of 28.81%. Thus, we rate the ticker a BUY.

- Advertisement -

Meristem Securities

- Advertisement -
Sterling Bank's Performance Succumbs to Pressure in Q1:2020Sterling Bank's Performance Succumbs to Pressure in Q1:2020

Subscribe to BrandSpur Ng

Subscribe for latest updates. Signup to best of brands and business news, informed analysis and opinions among others that can propel you, your business or brand to greater heights.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Sterling Bank's Performance Succumbs to Pressure in Q1:2020Sterling Bank's Performance Succumbs to Pressure in Q1:2020

Latest News

FGN Bond Yields Moderate for Most Maturities Tracked on Sustained Demand Pressure

In the just concluded week, the values of FGN bonds traded at the over-the-counter (OTC) segment appreciated further for...

FG Signs N10.8trn Budget amid Threats of Revenue Shortfall…

President Muhammadu Buhari on Friday, July 10, 2020, signed the revised N10.8 trillion 2020 national budget into law. A breakdown of the spending plan...

Naira Loses Against USD as CBN Devalues Official Rate to N381/USD

In the just concluded week, Naira depreciated against the USD at the Investors and Exporters FX Window (I&E FXW) by 0.13% to close at...

MoneyGram Digital Growth Maintains Strong Momentum and Market Expansion Continues

The Company achieved 106% year-over-year digital transaction growth in June driven by strong demand for the mobile app, high customer retention rates, and continued...

Puratos opens 4 new subsidiaries in Nigeria, Kenya, Ivory Coast and Ethiopia

The global provider of solutions for bakery, patisserie and chocolate, Puratos has opened four new African subsidiaries. The company aims to further establish a...
- Advertisement -
BrandsPur Weekly Cartoons
- Advertisement -Sterling Bank's Performance Succumbs to Pressure in Q1:2020Sterling Bank's Performance Succumbs to Pressure in Q1:2020