Nestle Nigeria – Supply chain disruption amid high inflationary environment dampen profitability

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Performance highlight

Nestle Nigeria Plc reported a 1% YoY decrease in revenue in its H1 2020 result. Gross profit dipped YoY by 8% due to higher direct cost. Similarly, operating profit fell by 15% owing to a higher administrative cost. Profit before tax declined by 16% while profit after tax reduced by 15%. EPS for the period stood at N27.53k (H1 2019: N33.11k).

Lower revenue from food segment amid weak domestic sales drags group topline

Nestle Nigeria’s revenue YoY declined again in Q2 2020 though at a slower pace than the Q1 2020 decrease. Revenue in Q1 2020 fell by 90bps and declined by 35bps in Q2 2020 mainly due to the weak revenue from the food segment.

Sales in the food segment (61% of the group’s revenue) decrease YoY by 3% from N88.24bn to N86.03bn in H1 2020, which we attribute to competition and weak macros evidenced in the weak domestic sales. Sales in Nigeria declined from N139.77bn to N138.07bn in H1 2020 while export revenue grew impressively by 38% from N2.14bn to N2.95bn in H1 2020.

Supply chain disruption and FX adjustment compress gross profit

Nestle Nigeria’s production cost declined YoY by 2% in Q1 2020. But the trend changed in
Q2 2020 following the supply chain disruption occasioned by the pandemic and FX
adjustment by the CBN. Primarily, the cost of sales in Q2 2020 grew materially YoY by
14% from N36.33bn in Q2 2019 to N41.52bn in Q2 2020. We believe that the primary
driver for the increase was the group’s inability to raise prices following repricing of its
input cost sourced both local and externally. As a result, the group’s cost of sales in H1
2020 increased YoY by 6% from N75.83bn to N80.19bn.

Read Also:  Nestle Nigeria Plc Resilient Amid Challenging Operating Environment

Consequently, gross profit declined by 8% from N66.08bn in H1 2019 to N60.84bn in H1
2020. Gross profit margin also contracted 343bps to 43% in H1 2020.

Historical Performance

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Nestle Nigeria - Supply chain disruption amid high inflationary environment dampen profitability
SOURCE: Company Accounts

Valuation

Following appropriate adjustments, we have a revised forward EPS of N53.39k (Q1 2020 estimate: N58.11k) on the stock informed by higher cost. We think that the cost pressure will persist given the inflationary environment and inclusion of maize (an input component of the group) in CBN FX exclusion list. Given the weak macros, we think that the group has limited scope for price increases.

Thus, we have a fair value estimate of N1,117.39k on the stock and maintain our HOLD recommendation.

WSTC Research

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Nestle Nigeria - Supply chain disruption amid high inflationary environment dampen profitability - Brand SpurNestle Nigeria - Supply chain disruption amid high inflationary environment dampen profitability - Brand Spur

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Latest News

Spackman Entertainment Group’s Upcoming Musical Film THE BOX, Starring EXO’s Chanyeol, Scheduled To Be Released In The Spring Of 2021

  • Following the art film STONE SKIPPING, THE BOX is the next film production of the Company's wholly‐owned indirect subsidiary, Studio Take, founded by veteran movie producer, Mr. Song Dae‐chan
  • THE BOX will be EXO's Chanyeol's first lead acting role in a film
  • Directed by Yang Jung Woong, the Executive Producer of the 2018 PyeongChang Winter Olympics opening and closing ceremonies, THE BOX is set to be screened in Korea in the spring of 2021

SINGAPORE - Media OutReach - 3 March 2021 - Spackman Entertainment Group Limited ("Spackman Entertainment Group" or the "Company" and together with its subsidiaries, the "Group"), one of Korea's leading entertainment production groups, wishes to announce that its upcoming musical film THE BOX, produced by the Company's indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, Studio Take Co., Ltd. ("Studio Take"), is set to be released in Korea in the spring of 2021.


Following the art film STONE SKIPPING, THE BOX is the next film production of Studio Take, which was founded by veteran movie producer, Mr. Song Dae‐chan.

THE BOX is about the musical journey of an aspiring singer and a once popular producer.

Directed by Yang Jung Woong, the Executive Producer of the 2018 PyeongChang Winter Olympics opening and closing ceremonies, THE BOX stars EXO's Chanyeol who plays the aspiring singer and Jo Dal Hwan who acts as the once popular producer. This is Chanyeol's first lead role for a Korean commercial film. Jo Dal Hwan is known for his role in SECRET HEALER (2016), TRAFFICKERS (2012) and THE CON ARTISTS (2014).


About Spackman Entertainment Group Limited

Spackman Entertainment Group Limited ("SEGL" or the "Company"), and together with its subsidiaries, (the "Group"), founded in 2011 by Charles Spackman, is one of Korea's leading entertainment production groups. SEGL is primarily engaged in the independent development, production, presentation, and financing of theatrical motion pictures in Korea. According to Variety, Korea was the world's fourth largest box office market in 2019, behind only North America, China and Japan.


The Group also invests into and produces Korean television dramas. In addition to our content business, we also own equity stakes in entertainment-related companies and film funds that can financially and strategically complement our existing core operations. SEGL is listed on the Catalist of the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited under the ticker 40E.

Production Labels

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SEGL's wholly-owned Zip Cinema Co., Ltd. ("Zip Cinema") is one of the most recognised film production labels in Korea and has originated and produced some of Korea's most commercially successful theatrical films, consecutively producing 10 profitable movies since 2009 representing an industry leading track record. Recent theatrical releases of Zip Cinema's motion pictures include some of Korea's highest grossing and award-winning films such as CRAZY ROMANCE (2019), DEFAULT (2018), MASTER (2016), THE PRIESTS (2015), COLD EYES (2013), and ALL ABOUT MY WIFE (2012). For more information on Zip Cinema, do visit http://zipcine.com


SEGL also owns Novus Mediacorp Co., Ltd. ("Novus Mediacorp"), an investor, presenter, and/or post-theatrical distributor for a total of 79 films (58 Korean and 21 foreign) including ROSE OF BETRAYAL, THE OUTLAWS and SECRETLY, GREATLY, which was one of the biggest box office hits of 2013 starring Kim Soo-hyun of MY LOVE FROM THE STARS, as well as FRIEND 2: THE GREAT LEGACY. In 2012, Novus Mediacorp was also the post-theatrical rights distributor of ALL ABOUT MY WIFE, a top-grossing romantic comedy produced by Zip Cinema. In 2018, THE OUTLAWS, co-presented by Novus Mediacorp broke the all-time highest Video On Demand ("VOD") sales records in Korea. For more information on Novus Mediacorp, do visit http://novusmediacorp.com.


The Company owns a 100% equity interest in Simplex Films Limited ("Simplex Films") which is an early stage film production firm. The maiden film of Simplex Films, JESTERS: THE GAME CHANGERS (2019), was released in Korea on 21 August 2019. Simplex Films has several line-up of films including A BOLT FROM THE BLUE (working title).


The Company owns a 100% equity interest in Take Pictures Pte. Ltd. ("Take Pictures") which produced STONE SKIPPING (2020) and shall release THE BOX and GUARDIAN (working title) in 2021 tentatively.


The Company owns a 100% equity interest in Greenlight Content Limited ("Greenlight Content") which is mainly involved in the business of investing into dramas and movies, as well as providing consulting services for the production of Korean content. Through the acquisition of Greenlight Content, the Group's first co-produced drama, MY SECRET TERRIUS, starring top Korean star, So Ji Sub, achieved #1 in drama viewership ratings for its time slot and recorded double digits for its highest viewership ratings. Greenlight Content was one of the main investors of MY SECRET TERRIUS.


The Company owns a 20% equity interest in The Makers Studio Co. Ltd., which plans to produce and release four upcoming films, the first of which will be THE ISLAND OF THE GHOST'S WAIL, a comedy horror film.


Our films are theatrically distributed and released in Korea and overseas markets, as well as for subsequent post-theatrical worldwide release in other forms of media, including online streaming, cable TV, broadcast TV, IPTV, video-on-demand, and home video/DVD, etc. We release all of our motion pictures into wide-theatrical exhibition initially in Korea, and then in overseas and ancillary markets.

Talent Representation

The Company holds an effective shareholding interest of 43.88% in Spackman Media Group Limited ("SMGL"). SMGL, a company incorporated in Hong Kong, together with its subsidiaries, is collectively one of the largest entertainment talent agencies in Korea in terms of the number of artists under management, including some of the top names in the Korean entertainment industry. SMGL operates its talent management business through renowned agencies such as MSteam Entertainment Co., Ltd. (Son Ye-jin, Lee Min-jung, Ko Sung-hee), UAA&CO Inc. (Song Hye-kyo, Yoo Ah-in, Park Hyung-sik), Fiftyone K Inc. (So Ji Sub, Ok Taec-yeon), SBD Entertainment Inc. (Son Suk-ku), and Kook Entertainment Co., Ltd. (Kim Sang-kyung, Kim Ji-young). Through these full-service talent agencies in Korea, SMGL represents and guides the professional careers of a leading roster of award-winning actors/actresses in the practice areas of motion pictures, television, commercial endorsements, and branded entertainment. SMGL leverages its unparalleled portfolio of artists as a platform to develop, produce, finance and own the highest quality of entertainment content projects, including theatrical motion pictures, variety shows and TV dramas. This platform also creates and derives opportunities for SMGL to make strategic investments in development stage businesses that can collaborate with SMGL artists. SMGL is an associated company of the Company.


The Company owns a 100% equity interest in Constellation Agency Pte. Ltd. ("Constellation Agency"). Constellation Agency, which owns The P Factory Co., Ltd. ("The P Factory") and Platform Media Group Co., Ltd. ("PMG"), is primarily involved in the business of overseas agency for Korean artists venturing into the overseas market. The P Factory is an innovative marketing solutions provider specializing in event and branded content production. PMG is a talent management agency which represents and manages the careers of major artists in film, television, commercial endorsements and branded entertainment.

Strategic Businesses

The Company owns a 100% equity interest in Frame Pictures Co., Ltd. ("Frame Pictures"). Frame Pictures is a leader in the movie/drama equipment leasing business in Korea. Established in 2014, Frame Pictures has worked with over 25 top directors and provided the camera and lighting equipment for some of Korea's most notable drama and movie projects including ITAEWON CLASS (2020), HOW TO BUY A FRIEND (2020), KIM JI-YOUNG, BORN 1982 (2019), FOUR MEN (2019) and ASADAL CHRONICLES (2019).

We also operate a café-lounge called Upper West, in the Gangnam district of Seoul and own a professional photography studio, noon pictures Co., Ltd.

For more details, do visit http://www.spackmanentertainmentgroup.com/

Nestle Nigeria - Supply chain disruption amid high inflationary environment dampen profitability - Brand Spur
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