Like Presco, Okomu Oil Palm has benefitted immensely from the FG directive to close the land borders in order to reduce the incidence of smuggling. Global Rubber prices also improved in the first half of the year. The resulting increase in domestic CPO, Rubber prices and demand took topline and bottom line 58% higher y/y in H1’20.
With average global CPO prices coming in 24% higher q/q and demand expecting to have remained decent in the third quarter, we forecast another strong topline performance for the CPO manufacturer.
Average global rubber prices also rose by 20% q/q to $163.91/MT in Q3, supporting topline as well as providing crucial FX receipts to the company. All in, we project a 2% q/q jump in topline to ₦6.7 billion, albeit 4% lower y/y due to the high base of Q3’19.
Even as Q3 remains a low-cost quarter for Okomu Oil Palm, we nevertheless forecast a 14% q/q and 26% y/y decline in EBIT to ₦2.2 billion (check the table. It doesn’t tally), dragged by higher costs amid inflationary pressures.
Overall, with the higher cost profile in the quarter capping profits, we forecast a 22% q/q and 3% y/y moderation in PAT to ₦1.6 billion (check the table. It doesn’t tally).