Nigeria Agriculture Sector – FY’18 Earnings Preview: Weak Crude Palm Oil prices will pressure FY’18 PAT

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The Agriculture sector expanded by 2.5% y/y in real terms in the final quarter of 2018, with a particularly strong showing from Crop production. We attribute this to reduced violence across key food-producing regions as well as the effect of the harvest. Accordingly, we forecast decent volumes from listed Oil Palm producers in Q4’18 amidst continued expansion in production.

That said, with Global CPO prices falling 5% in the quarter and Rubber prices also moderating, we project a 12% drop in revenue for major Crude Palm Oil producers in Q4’18. Similarly, with average CPO prices falling 19% y/y, we foresee a 4% moderation in FY’18 topline across the two listed producers.

Meanwhile, with the bulk of OKOMUOIL’s Cost of Sales and PRESCO’s Selling expenses seasonally featuring in the final quarter, FY’18 EBIT margin should moderate from the 50s to mid-40s.

Whilst both major producers tend to generally move in the same direction, we see a divergence in Interest expense, with PRESCO reporting a 34% y/y increase in FY’18 Net Finance Cost and OKOMUOIL reporting a nine times to drop in finance charges for the year. We attribute the higher PRESCO charges to generally higher Interest rates in the period as well as new loan acquisition. Meanwhile, the paydown of a €10 million SOCFINAF loan earlier in the year helped drive OKOMUOIL’s finance charges lower for the year.

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Although strong average CPO prices in 2016 and 2017 have supported PRESCO’s bottom line via Gains on revaluation of biological assets, we do not see this support in 2018 and project a Loss on revaluation due to lower average prices for the year.

Overall, driven by weaker toplines in 2018, we expect PAT figures across major Oil Palm producers to moderate 97% y/y for Q4’18 and 63% y/y for FY’18.

Nigeria Agriculture Sector - FY'18 Earnings Preview: Weak Crude Palm Oil prices will pressure FY'18 PAT - Brand Spur

Nigeria Agriculture Sector - FY'18 Earnings Preview: Weak Crude Palm Oil prices will pressure FY'18 PAT - Brand Spur

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Nigeria Agriculture Sector - FY'18 Earnings Preview: Weak Crude Palm Oil prices will pressure FY'18 PAT - Brand SpurNigeria Agriculture Sector - FY'18 Earnings Preview: Weak Crude Palm Oil prices will pressure FY'18 PAT - Brand Spur

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Nigeria Agriculture Sector - FY'18 Earnings Preview: Weak Crude Palm Oil prices will pressure FY'18 PAT - Brand SpurNigeria Agriculture Sector - FY'18 Earnings Preview: Weak Crude Palm Oil prices will pressure FY'18 PAT - Brand Spur

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China Dynamics Appoints International Advisors

Accelerates Expansion into Global Market

 

HONG KONG SAR - Media OutReach - 28 January 2021 - China Dynamics (Holdings) Limited (the "Company"; Stock Code: 476, together with its subsidiaries, collectively "China Dynamics" or the "Group"), a provider of new energy vehicles and technology integrated solutions, has announced its Team of International Advisors for supporting its growth strategy in the global market.

 

The Team of International Advisors comprises Mr. Michael Perschke, Ms. Monika Mikac and Mr. Matthew Green.

 

Mr. Michael Perschke, Founder & Former CEO of Automobili Pininfarina, is the CEO of NAD (New Automovile Development). He has been in the automotive industry for 25 years, having served at such companies as Daimler Group, Mitsubishi Motors and Volkswagen Group, including the CEO of AUDI India. In respect of Mitsubishi Motors, he played a major role in the company's turnaround in Europe, whereas at AUDI, he demonstrated his strong branding background by creating the "AUDI SPORT" brand by uniting all Audi S and RS models under an umbrella brand strategy. In addition, Mr. Perschke ventured into the electric vehicle ("EV") segment and successfully developed the brand and sales strategy for the EV brand of AUDI -- the eTron. In early 2018 he founded Automobili Pininfarina as the first fully sustainable luxury EV brand, capitalizing on the legendary Italian design company Pininfarina, and supported by his key investor, the Mahindra Group (India). Mr. Perschke is among the top 20 global EV leaders and recently joined NAD -- an investment firm focusing on investments in EV, autonomous and connected technologies.

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Mr. Perschke will support China Dynamics' European and Latin America market expansion and make contributions to the Group's investment and funding activities by leveraging his personal network.


Included among the European Automotive Rising Stars, Ms. Monika Mikac started her career as COO of Rimac Automobili; helping the company grow from a handful of employees to around 350 people. In being one of its first five staff members meant that she had to engage in a diverse scope of activities, spanning public relations and marketing to finance and administration. She also actively participated in fundraising efforts and helped Rimac Automobili to close their first round of funding in 2014 for €10 million, which was followed by €30 million in 2017.

 

With her extensive experience in marketing and business development, Ms. Mikac will be entrusted with helping support China Dynamics on its path towards becoming an internationally renowned electric bus manufacturer.

 

Mr. Matthew Green has been active as a principal and advisor in several transactions across diversified alternative asset classes, including renewable energy, real estate, technology and infrastructure, and covering key western European markets and large-scale emerging markets. With a focus on capital raising, transaction origination and debt financing, he has concluded transactions or advised on financing activities with leading global organizations, including Blackstone, Cerberus, BAML, GI Partners, and Bank of China Asset Management.

 

Mr. Green will assist in the Company's growth in the capital market by fostering new relations with leading global investors and forging industry alliances.

 

Mr. Miguel Valldecabres Polop, CEO of China Dynamics, said, "We are delighted and will look forward to working with the new team of professional advisors. As China Dynamics is growing into a leading global EV bus player and last mile transportation leader, it is critical that we build a diverse and globally experienced team to help the Company fulfill its mission of becoming one of the foremost international players in the market. The advisors are expected to draw on their wealth of knowledge and experience in the international marketplace to help China Dynamics identify opportunities around the world, accelerate its growth and strengthen its global presence."

About China Dynamics (Holdings) Limited (Stock Code: 476)

China Dynamics (Holdings) Limited is a pioneer and a prominent player in China's new energy commercial vehicles market, as well as a whole-vehicle manufacturer of specialty passenger vehicles and new energy passenger vehicles. It is an integrated driving and logistics solutions provider with a solid technological foundation in diverse areas including new energy platform power system and its key components. The Group has two production bases in Chongqing and it has developed its sales network in Mainland China, Hong Kong and the Philippines.

Nigeria Agriculture Sector - FY'18 Earnings Preview: Weak Crude Palm Oil prices will pressure FY'18 PAT - Brand Spur

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