Impact of COVID-19 on Commodity Markets Heaviest on Energy Prices; Lower Oil Demand Likely to Persist Beyond 2021

Must Read

How To Block Your Bank Account And SIM Card In Case Of Emergency

Losing your phone and wallet or having them stolen can be very frustrating. However, in case that happens to...

List of United Bank for Africa (UBA) Sort Codes & Branches (with addresses) in Nigeria

The sort code is a number that usually identifies both the bank and the branch where an account is held. The sort...

Here is a list of all Microfinance Banks’ USSD Codes in Nigeria.

A Microfinance bank is a type of bank that offers small loans, or microloans, to individuals, entrepreneurs and small...
- Advertisement -

Most other commodities regained losses after pandemic; seen stabilizing next year

WASHINGTON, Oct. 22, 2020 – While metal and agricultural commodities have recouped their losses from the COVID-19 pandemic and are expected to make modest gains in 2021, energy prices, despite some recovery, are expected to stabilize below pre-pandemic levels next year, the World Bank said.

Oil prices fell dramatically in the early stages of COVID-19 and have only partially regained pre-pandemic price levels, while metal prices declined relatively modestly and have returned to levels that preceded the shock, according to the semi-annual Commodity Markets Outlook report. Agriculture prices were relatively unaffected by the pandemic, but the number of people at risk of food insecurity has risen as a result of the broader effects of the global recession.

Impact of COVID-19 on Commodity Markets Heaviest on Energy Prices; Lower Oil Demand Likely to Persist Beyond 2021 Brandspurng

“The impact of COVID-19 on commodities has been uneven, and could have lasting effects for energy markets,” said Ayhan Kose, World Bank Group Acting Vice President for Equitable Growth, Finance & Institutions and Director for the Prospects Group. 

“When declines in commodity prices are short-lived, policy stimulus can buffer their impact. However, when prices remain depressed for an extended period, policymakers need to find solutions so their economies can adjust smoothly to a new normal. Because of COVID-19, the new normal for oil-exporting emerging and developing economies arrived earlier. In the post-COVID world, these countries need to be more aggressive in implementing policies to reduce their reliance on oil revenues.”

- Advertisement -

Oil prices are expected to average $44 per barrel in 2021, up from an estimated $41 per barrel in 2020. Demand is expected to rise only slowly as tourism and travel continue to be held back by health concerns and as global economic activity is anticipated to return to pre-pandemic levels only in the year after next. Supply restraint is expected to be eased steadily.

Energy prices overall —which also include natural gas and coal—are expected to rebound sizably in 2021, following large declines in 2020, an upward revision from April’s forecast. A resurgence of a second wave of the pandemic that results in more lockdowns and less consumption, and delays in vaccine development and distribution, could lead to lower energy prices than forecast.

Metal prices are expected to post modest increases in 2021 after falling in 2020, supported by the ongoing recovery in the global economy and continued stimulus from China. A prolonged period of weak global growth would lead to lower prices than forecast.

Read Also:  Global Economy to Shrink by 4.5% in 2020 as China’s GDP Grows by 1.6%

Agriculture prices are expected to rise slightly in 2021, following an estimated 3% increase in 2020 following some shortfall in edible oil production. Concerns about food insecurity remain relevant in several emerging market and developing economies. These concerns are prompted by hits to incomes from the global recession, bottlenecks in food availability at the local level, and border restrictions that have constrained labour supply. Food price inflation has spiked in several countries.

- Advertisement -

The pandemic is only the latest in a long history of shocks to commodity markets. A Special Focus looks at the nature of commodity price shocks on 27 commodities during 1970-2019. It finds that highly persistent (“permanent”) and short-lived (“transitory”) shocks have contributed almost equally to commodity price variation, although with wide variety across commodities.

Permanent shocks account for most of agricultural commodity price variability while transitory shocks are more relevant in industrial commodity prices. The varied durations of such shocks points to a need for policy flexibility.

A transitory commodity price shock may call for stimulative fiscal policy to smooth consumption; countries that depend on exports of commodities subject to cyclical price swings may want to build fiscal buffers during the boom phase and use them in the bust period to support economic activity.

In countries that rely heavily on commodities that are subject to permanent shocks, structural policies such as economic diversification and broadening the tax base may be needed to facilitate adjustments to new economic environments.

- Advertisement -

The World Bank Group, one of the largest sources of funding and knowledge for developing countries, is taking broad, fast action to help developing countries strengthen their pandemic response. It is supporting public health interventions, working to ensure the flow of critical supplies and equipment, and helping the private sector continue to operate and sustain jobs.

The World Bank Group is making available up to $160 billion over a 15-month period ending June 2021 to help more than 100 countries protect the poor and vulnerable, support businesses, and bolster economic recovery. This includes $50 billion of new IDA resources through grants and highly concessional loans and $12 billion for developing countries to finance the purchase and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines.

- Advertisement -
Impact of COVID-19 on Commodity Markets Heaviest on Energy Prices; Lower Oil Demand Likely to Persist Beyond 2021 - Brand SpurImpact of COVID-19 on Commodity Markets Heaviest on Energy Prices; Lower Oil Demand Likely to Persist Beyond 2021 - Brand Spur

Subscribe to BrandSpur Ng

Subscribe for latest updates. Signup to best of brands and business news, informed analysis and opinions among others that can propel you, your business or brand to greater heights.

- Advertisement -

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Impact of COVID-19 on Commodity Markets Heaviest on Energy Prices; Lower Oil Demand Likely to Persist Beyond 2021 - Brand SpurImpact of COVID-19 on Commodity Markets Heaviest on Energy Prices; Lower Oil Demand Likely to Persist Beyond 2021 - Brand Spur

Latest News

DHL donated IDR2.4 billion to SOS Children’s Villages in six years of partnership in Indonesia

  • With DPDHL Group's support and contribution of €140,000 (IDR2.4 billion) since inception, program has benefitted more than 2,500 young people in Indonesia
  • GoTeach program aims to improve youth employability, especially now with challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic
Read Also:  Total Nigeria Plc 9M'19 - High operating and finance costs weigh on earnings

JAKARTA, INDONESIA - Media OutReach - 8 March 2021 - DHL Global Forwarding, the leading international freight specialist arm of Deutsche Post DHL Group (or DPDHL Group), today commemorates six years of partnership with SOS Children's Villages (SOSCV) at a DHL GoTeach Donation Ceremony. Working together with the non-governmental organization (NGO) focused on supporting children without parental care and families at risk, DPDHL Group has reached out to more than 2,500 beneficiaries in Indonesia through mentorship and educational activities and a contribution of €140,000 (IDR2.4 billion) since 2014.


Impact of COVID-19 on Commodity Markets Heaviest on Energy Prices; Lower Oil Demand Likely to Persist Beyond 2021 - Brand Spur

"As one of the largest employers in the world, the Group is supportive of programs that prepare job seekers for the working world, especially during such challenging times. Today, we are proud to commemorate our six years of partnership with SOS Children's Villages at the DHL GoTeach Donation Ceremony," said Thomas Grunau, Global Head of Business Strategy & Digitalization, DHL Global Forwarding.

During the ceremony, Grunau presented a donation of €5,000 to SOSCV Indonesia in support of the Pandemic GoTeach project, which offered an online employability training to more than 1,000 young people all over Indonesia in 2020. With the support of 12 volunteers, the online training sessions, covering employability related topics such as job interview and resume writing skills, will continue in 2021 until social distancing measures ease up. The program is the brainchild of Elok Vinindya Wardhani, Marketing and Corporate Communications, DHL Global Forwarding Indonesia, who was recognized for her initiative and effort with the organization's CEO award in the category sustainability.

DHL Global Forwarding Indonesia President Director, Vincent Yong said, "In today's rapidly changing world, education paves the way to a stable, sustainable and prosperous tomorrow. Through the GoTeach program, DHL hopes to help the youth in Indonesia to develop the skills and confidence to enter the professional world. With 509 employees across all business divisions volunteering for more than 3,000 hours in the past six years, GoTeach also delivers opportunities for our employees to actively contribute and play a role in the community."

GoTeach is a group-wide corporate responsibility program aimed at improving youth employability for those from disadvantaged socio-economic backgrounds. Educational and mentorship activities are regularly organized to better prepare them to enter the working world.

"The sustainability and power of an economy and the society depend on a strong educational system and targeted efforts to develop the next generation of working professionals. During the COVID-19 pandemic, jobs and livelihoods have been impacted, deepening the need for training and mentoring programs, such as GoTeach, for our youth to continue to develop their competencies and capabilities to reach their dreams. SOS Children's Villages is happy and proud to join hands with DHL Indonesia to deliver on this commitment," said Gregor Hadiyanto Nitihardjo, National Director SOS Children's Villages Indonesia.

According to UNICEF, there are approximately 24 million students who have dropped out of school as a result of the pandemic, adding to the 870 million students or half of the world's student population in 51 countries who have yet to return to school.

In Indonesia, DHL Global Forwarding together with DHL Express and DHL Supply Chain have continuously focused on developing youth's potential since 2014, sharing knowledge on soft and hard skills as well as supporting career development and employability for young people. The GoTeach program has been conducted in several locations across Indonesia such as Meulaboh, Banda Aceh, Medan, Jakarta, Lembang, Semarang, Bali and Flores. For the past six years, DHL employees have actively become mentors in several GoTeach activities such as skill preparation, job shadowing, DHL facility tours, internships and dream camp activities at SOS Children's Villages to improve employability. The initiative is also part of DPDHL Group's effort to contribute to local communities where they operate.


DHL – The logistics company for the world

DHL is the leading global brand in the logistics industry. Our DHL divisions offer an unrivalled portfolio of logistics services ranging from national and international parcel delivery, e-commerce shipping and fulfillment solutions, international express, road, air and ocean transport to industrial supply chain management. With about 380,000 employees in more than 220 countries and territories worldwide, DHL connects people and businesses securely and reliably, enabling global sustainable trade flows. With specialized solutions for growth markets and industries including technology, life sciences and healthcare, engineering, manufacturing & energy, auto-mobility and retail, DHL is decisively positioned as "The logistics company for the world".

About SOS Children’s Villages

SOS Children's Villages is a non-profit organization that provides alternative care for children who lost or at risk of losing their parental care. Founded in 1949 in Innsbruck, Austria, SOS Children's Villages now are in 136 countries, including Indonesia. Today, Indonesia SOS Children's Villages have nurtured and assisted more than 5.500 children in 11 cities in Indonesia: Lembang, Jakarta, Bogor, Semarang, Yogyakarta, Tabanan, Maumere, Banda Aceh, Meulaboh, Medan, and Palu. For further information, visit: www.sos.or.id | @desaanaksos


*Special Notes

SOS Children's Villages prioritizes family-based care and we form substitute families for children who lost or at risk of losing their parental care. The Mothers and Children establish a family relationship with each other just like any family out there (family-care), so we avoid terms such as an orphanage, foster child, foster mother, and orphans that is replaced with the term a child who lost or at risk of losing their parental care. In SOS Children's Villages, we also pay close attention to children's interests and we also protect their privacy, so any information that is related to their background and personal matter will only be shared with particular parties and will not be published to the public.

Impact of COVID-19 on Commodity Markets Heaviest on Energy Prices; Lower Oil Demand Likely to Persist Beyond 2021 - Brand Spur
- Advertisement -
BrandsPur Weekly Cartoons
- Advertisement -Impact of COVID-19 on Commodity Markets Heaviest on Energy Prices; Lower Oil Demand Likely to Persist Beyond 2021 - Brand SpurImpact of COVID-19 on Commodity Markets Heaviest on Energy Prices; Lower Oil Demand Likely to Persist Beyond 2021 - Brand Spur