Mobile gaming will become a $272bn industry by 2030 – Report

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Set to be a $272bn industry by 2030, mobile gaming is the dominant segment in the global video games sector. With the upcoming 5G revolution around the corner, new processors and improved display technologies are making mobile platforms more game-ready than before. Every games company must develop expertise in this area to stay relevant, according to GlobalData, a leading data and analytics company.

GlobalData’s latest thematic report, ‘Thematic Research: Mobile Gaming’, reveals that the mobile gaming market will be worth $272bn by 2030, up from $98bn in 2020. The industry will record a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11% over the ten years.

Mobile gaming Microsoft Brings Xbox TGaming To Apple Phones And Tablets-Brand Spur Nigeria
Xbox Gaming On Phones and Tablets Photo Source Microsoft

Rupantar Guha, Associate Project Manager for Thematic Research at GlobalData, comments:

“Mobile gaming is already bigger than the console and PC gaming markets combined, contributing nearly 57% of global video games revenue in 2020.

The growing maturity of streaming (supported by 5G), cloud gaming services and mobile esports – combined with the fact that mobile platforms are close to technical parity with PCs and consoles – means most gamers will embrace mobile gaming in the next few years. As a result, it will continue to account for the lion’s share of the global video games revenue over the next ten years*2.”

Guha continues:

“Mobile gaming expertise is a must-have for all games companies. Traditional console and PC game publishers such as Activision Blizzard and EA are increasingly focused on popular mobile gaming and its lucrative revenue opportunities. They compete with companies such as Tencent, Sea and Perfect World, which primarily focus on mobile gaming. Social media companies (e.g., ByteDance) and online advertisers (e.g., AppLovin) are also moving into mobile games publishing.

“5G will drive the next wave of innovation in mobile gaming. 5G networks allow games to be downloaded faster than current 4G networks and aid the development of mobile-based cloud gaming services and augmented reality (AR) games. With the ability to support one million devices within a single square kilometre, 5G will drive more users towards mobile gaming, especially multiplayer titles. This, in turn, will boost the growth of mobile esports.”

Trade deficit worsens on the back currency devaluation

Recently, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released the Terms of trade report for Q1-2020. The report showed that total trade increased by 14.1% y/y and 7.0% q/q in Q1-2021. The increase in total trade comes as no surprise considering the impact of exchange rate devaluation on the naira cost of imported goods coupled with the increase in economic activities.

Overall, Nigeria’s total trade in merchandise closed at N9.7tn in Q1-2021, while the trade deficit printed at N3.9tn, representing a 1095.3% y/y increase and a 44.4% q/q increase. The increase in the trade deficit was driven by a surge in imports (+54.3% y/y to N6.9tn) as exports (-2 9.3% y/y to N2.9tn) plunged during the quarter.

The surge in imports was primarily due to a 19.9% q/q rise in the Premium Motor Spirit (10.0% of import bill), which rose to N687.7bn in Q1-2021. We attribute the increases in the value of imports to global inflationary pressures and currency devaluation in 2021. The value of total exports in Q1-2021 decreased by 9.0% q/q against the level recorded in Q4-2020 and 29.3% y/y compared to Q1-2020.

Petroleum products accounted for most of Nigeria’s exports, making up 82.0% of total exports in Q1-2021. The decline in exports was broadly driven by weaker y/y oil prices in Q1-2021 relative to Q1-2020 as well as a steep decline in production.

Our outlook for exports for Q2-2021 remains promising, considering the uptick in oil prices and the potential increase for output considering OPEC+ monthly revision tied to the global vaccination rollouts and rebound in global economic output.

For imports, considering the economy’s expected increase in demand coupled with the low base for the exchange rate, we expect the value of imports will keep Nigeria in a trade deficit for the rest of 2021.

OPEC adjustments keep prices favourable and maintain the cartels’ relevance

On the 1st of June 2021, the Joint Ministerial Meeting of OPEC and its allies, OPEC+ agreed to extend its Apr-2021 commitment to ease production constraints that will see OPEC+ states boost output by 2.0mbpd from May to July 2021. Following the outbreak of the pandemic, OPEC+ members had to adhere to various output adjustments in the face of aggregate demand and supply shocks.

Other notable outcomes included the swing producer decision for Saudi Arabia to continue to take its cuts of 1.0mbpd as it plans to keep markets tight. The newly agreed production output aims to address the increased demand on the back of global economic recovery while also looking to rebalance the market following concerns of a potential supply glut from non-OPEC parties.

There are also relatable concerns towards OPEC+ members like Iran, possibly flooding the market following the potential lifting of sanctions.

With regards to Nigeria, although our current output quota will be capped at 1.5mpd, condensate production estimated at 200kpd – 300kpd would provide support to achieving the FG’s benchmark output of 1.8mbpd.

In addition, oil prices are expected to remain well above the FG’s benchmark of $40.0/b. This will boost post-Covid recovery efforts and support the FGN’s fiscal obligations while strengthening our foreign reserves, currency markets, and economic output.

Canon Announces Partnerships With Creative From Nigerian, Egypt, Kenya

Canon (www.Canon-CNA.com) has announced a collaboration with creative and photography communities in Egypt, Nigeria, and Kenya.

Brand Spur Nigeria understands that the partnership is part of underscoring Canon’s commitment to forging closer ties with its customers in Africa.

WHATCanon Central North Africa, CCNA, announces collaboration with creative and photography communities in Egypt, Nigeria, and Kenya.

WHO: Amine Djouahra, Sales and Marketing Director for Canon Central & North Africa, Kenya Association of Photographers spokesperson (PAK), SYNC Spokesperson (Egypt), PEEXO spokesperson (Nigeria)

WHENWednesday 16th June 2021, from 2:00 – 3:00 PM Dubai time

                (See here what time it will be in your country: https://bit.ly/3vN4uO1)

WHERE: Online via Zoom.

All journalists should register here (https://APO-opa.com/register-canon/) for accreditation as soon as you receive this advisory, you will receive zoom log in details for your attendance.

LANGUAGE: English & Arabic translations

DETAILS

Canon Central North Africa, CCNA, announces collaboration with creative and photography communities in Egypt, Nigeria and Kenya highlights Canon’s commitment to enhancing art, skill, and future careers of youth in Africa by investing expertise, technology, and opportunities.

Journalists will have the opportunity to hear and ask questions on these in-country partnerships with these various specialists as well as Canon’s growth, expansion and close-to-customer strategies in Africa.

NTB primary auction review – Stop rates on 364-day bill down by 1bps

Yesterday, the Central Bank of Nigeria held an NTB primary auction rolling over N93.1bn worth of maturing treasury bills. Investors’ appetite at the auction remained strong, as the 91-day, 182-day and 364-day bills were oversubscribed by 1.4x, 1.5x and 3.9x, respectively.

Stop rates for the 91-day and 182-day bills remained unchanged at 2.5%, 3.5%, respectively. However, rates on the longer tenor paper dipped by a marginal 1bp to close at 9.64% closing in line with our expectations.

The CBN continues to send the signal to the debt markets again that the rate reversal party may be coming to a pause. Interestingly, the CBN sold 1.9x (N179.3bn sold vs N93.1bn offered) of what it initially offered, taking advantage of the huge bids from investors at the auction.

NTB primary auction
Source: CBN, United Capital Research

Regarding the NTB secondary market, yesterday’s auction coupled with the outcome of the most recent MPC meeting posits that the upward yield reversal in the NTB market has plateaued. In subsequent trading sessions, we expect to observe some buy interest in the secondary NTB market as leftover demand gets filled. We also think yesterday’s auction sets a cue for the OMO auction expected later in the week.

Lastly, regarding the equity market, we also believe the recent halt in the yield environment in the primary market coupled with potential dividend plays before the H1 earnings season could provide some temporary respite for the tight market thus

International Breweries’ Q1 2021 Margins Remain Weak Despite Topline Growth

International Breweries recorded double-digit revenue growth of 10% YoY to N38.96bn in Q1 2021 from N35.35bn in Q1 2020 driven by improved sales volume. Cost of sales rose by 11% YoY to N32.48bn in Q1 2021 from N29.18bn in Q1 2020. Due to the rise in the cost of sales, gross profit grew at a slower rate of 5% to N6.49bn in Q1 2021 from N6.17bn in Q1 2020.

The operating loss in Q1 2021 stood at N2.49bn representing a 4% increase from a N2.39bn operating loss in Q1 2020. However, the loss before tax improved by 54% to N3.56bn in Q1 2021 from N7.69bn in Q1 2020.

The improvement in the loss before tax was due to a decline in both finance cost and other losses. Likewise, loss after tax improved by 54% to N2.58bn in Q1 2021 from N5.65bn in Q1 2020.

International Breweries

Amortisation of Container Bloats Cost of Sales

We believe that the double-digit cost of sales growth recorded in Q1 2021 resulted from an increase in sales volumes, as cost margin remained flat at 83% (Q1 2020: 83%). During the quarter, International Breweries incurred a higher amortisation charge of containers.

The amortisation charge relates to returnable containers, where provisions were made for breakages and losses in trade over the expected useful life of the container. Specifically, the amortisation charge rose by 117% YoY to N4.56bn in Q1 2021 from N2.10bn in Q1 2020.

If we discounted the amortisation charge as a one-off expense, the cost of sales could have risen by just 3% YoY to N27.92bn in Q1 2021 from N27.08bn in Q1 2020. Nevertheless, gross profit grew by 5% YoY to N6.49bn in Q1 2020 from N6.17bn in Q1 2020.

Macroeconomic Challenges Reflects in Operating Expense

Operating expense rose by 5% YoY to N8.98bn in Q1 2021 from N8.56bn in Q1 2020. The higher operating expense was driven by a 14% hike in business running cost to N2.04bn (Q1 2020: N1.80bn). We attribute the hike in business running cost to increased inflationary pressures. The higher operating expense, therefore, resulted in a 4% YoY rise in operating loss to N2.49bn in Q1 2021.

Deleveraging Effort Amid Better FX Management Buoys Loss Position

International Breweries’ loss before tax improved by 54% YoY to N3.56bn in Q1 2021 from a loss of N7.69bn in Q1 2020. The improved loss position was driven by a decline in finance cost and other losses. Finance cost dipped 30% to N684mn in Q1 2021 from N984mn in Q1 2020. The lower finance cost underpinned the management’s deleveraging efforts through a capital raise in January 2020.

Also, other losses declined significantly by 97% YoY to N168mn in Q1 2021 from N5.64bn in Q1 2020. Notably, realised net foreign exchange loss improved to N301mn in Q1 2021 from N4.69bn in Q1 2020 while unrealised net foreign exchange gain improved to N81mn in Q1 2021 from a loss of N5.25bn in Q1 2020.

We believe that International Breweries hedged better within the period. Therefore, the combination of lower finance cost and improved other losses resulted in the improved loss before tax to N3.56bn in Q1 2021 from N7.69bn in Q1 2020.

Financial Performance Summary

International Breweries
Source: Company Accounts, WSTC Research

Outlook

We expect that revenue growth would be sustained in the short to medium term, premised on increased sales volume. We posit that the sustained economic recovery would drive the increase in sales volume. We also expect to see sustained cost optimisation in a bid to protect earnings margins.

Using a blend of Discounted Cash Flow model, Residual Income model, and EV/EBITDA valuation methodologies, we have a revised estimate of N4.80 (Previously: N4.69) fair value for the stock. At the stock’s N5.35 current market price, the stock trades at a premium to our fair value. Given an estimated total return of -10%, we recommend a HOLD.

Solad and Arizona State University announce innovative partnership to scale up feasibility studies for mini-grids

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Solad Power Group, one of Nigeria’s leading distributed energy solutions providers, has agreed to a partnership with Arizona State University (ASU) to utilise the university’s proprietary artificial intelligence data platform to assess mini-grid projects in Nigeria quickly and efficiently.

As a participant in the World Bank supported Rural Electrification Agency (REA) Mini-Grid programme, Solad is rolling out solar solutions to markets across Nigeria. The Company has a near-term pipeline of 12 priority projects.

Solad

The partnership with ASU’s Laboratory For Energy And Power Solutions (LEAPS) enables the accelerated deployment of 25 new sites. Data will be collected through LEAPS’ existing partnerships with YouthMappers and Nigerian universities, whose students will deepen their knowledge of and exposure to distributed energy solutions.

Mini-grid companies must conduct site feasibility studies before they can design and install a project. This is often a limited but protracted process built on insufficient data from short site visits, which can compromise the outcome. Solad is focused on leveraging the latest technology to enhance its feasibility assessments using global satellite imagery, AI-aided mapping models and advanced power engineering software.

Commenting on the alliance, Solad’s Chairman Constantine ‘Labi Ogunbiyi said: 

“We are proud to be collaborating with the largest research university in the United States. By combining ASU’s unique data platform with our own project portfolio and market access, we can deliver new power solutions much more efficiently. This means we can rapidly expand and validate our project pipeline while ASU grows its knowledge and understanding of market viability with Nigerian students participating in the process.

Once the first phase is successful, we intend to expand collaboration to include hundreds of additional sites. Using ASU’s accurate technical and business data metrics, we will continue to invest in energy as a service allowing us to connect Nigerian MSMEs to the world, beginning with clean energy systems providing consistent power supply, and expanding our services through a mobile first, digital eCommerce portal.”

Dr. Nathan Johnson, Director of ASU LEAPS, remarks about the importance of innovation and partnerships: 

“The public-private partnership with Solad will accelerate identification and development of mini-grid sites to expand access to reliable, affordable, and renewable energy.

The technical analysis provided by ASU is paired with innovative business models by Solad to create bankable mini-grid investments that address the goals of all stakeholders. Solad’s approach provides a tangible return on investment to facilitate site expansion and economic development.”

Solad focuses on under-served segments of the energy market, prioritising support for the millions of market traders who struggle with access to unreliable or prohibitively-expensive energy solutions. SMEs make up 96% of all businesses operating in Nigeria, contributing nearly 50% of GDP and providing 84% of all jobs in the country.

They consistently reference access to electricity as the single most important obstacle that they face. With Lagos alone having a population of 20 million people, the opportunity set is huge. Solad already has 10,000 existing small business customers and an expansion programme that targets an additional 20,000 businesses within 2 years.

Nigeria’s total public debt jumps by 15.64% to N33.107trn – DMO

According to Debt Management Office (DMO), Nigeria’s total public debt stock jumped year on year (y-o-y) by 15.64% to N33.11 trillion as at March 2021 (from N28.63 trillion as at March 2020).

The y-o-y increase in the country’s total public debt stock was chiefly due to a 24.86% rise in external debt to N12.47 trillion (or USD32.86 billion at N379.50/USD) as at March 2021 from N9.99 trillion (or USD27.67 billion at N361.00/USD) in March 2020.

Within a year, Nigeria received USD3.48 billion worth of loans from International Monetary Fund. Also, additional loan of USD1.43 billion was gotten from IDA. More so, the depreciation of the Naira against the greenback exacerbated external debt; y-o-y, Naira depreciated against the USD by 5.10% to close at N379.50/USD as at March 2021.

public debt 10 goals Nigeria must set herself of achieving over the next 60 years

In the quarter under review, Nigeria paid part of its Multilateral (USD81.05 million), Bilateral (USD61.38 million) and Commercial loans (USD500 million) which amounted to USD642 million.

Hence, external debt service payments fell to N126.02 billion (or USD332.07 million) in Q1 2021 from N170.60 billion (or USD472.57 million) printed in Q1 2020. Further breakdown of the total external debt stock in Q1 2021, showed that Multilateral loans accounted for 54.26% (USD17.83 billion) of which loans from International Development Association (IDA) was USD11.09 billion, loan from IMF was USD3.48 billion while others stood at USD3.26 billion.

Bilateral loan accounted for 12.73% (USD4.18 billion) of which loan from China (Exim Bank of China) was USD3.40 billion and loan from France was USD0.49 billion in Q1 2021. Commercial loans accounted for 32.47% (USD10.66 billion) of which Eurobonds was USD10.37 billion while Diasporal bond was USD0.30 billion. Local debt stock increased by 10.71% to N20.64 trillion in Q1 2021 (from N18.64 trillion in Q1 2020).

Breakdown of the domestic debt figure showed that FG’s domestic debt stock rose to N16.51 trillion in Q1 2021 (from N14.53 trillion in Q1 2020). Despite the significant rise in FG’s domestic loan, local debt service payment increased marginally by 0.59% to N612 billion in Q1 2021 from N609.13 billion recorded in Q1 2020 amid relatively low rate.

We expect Nigeria’s local debt and the annualized implicit interest rate (8.92%) to increase in 2021 given the President’s request to the National Assembly to approve N2.34 trillion new capital raising.

Also, the rising domestic interest rate environment witnessed in recent times will further exert upward pressure on debt service. Meanwhile as Nigeria turns to IMF for more loans, it may have to lean more on market-driven exchange rate policy – which may further have a pass-through effect on inflation rate.

Nigeria Redeems USD642.43 million Foreign Debt in Q1 2021

Nigeria Redeems USD642.43 million Foreign Debt in Q1 2021

According to Debt Management Office (DMO), Nigeria’s total public debt stock jumped year on year (y-o-y) by 15.64% to N33.11 trillion as at March 2021 (from N28.63 trillion as at March 2020).

The y-o-y increase in the country’s total debt stock was chiefly due to a 24.86% rise in external debt to N12.47 trillion (or USD32.86 billion at N379.50/USD) as at March 2021 from N9.99 trillion (or USD27.67 billion at N361.00/USD) in March 2020.

Within a year, Nigeria received USD3.48 billion worth of loans from International Monetary Fund. Also, additional loan of USD1.43 billion was gotten from IDA. More so, the depreciation of the Naira against the greenback exacerbated external debt; y-o-y, Naira depreciated against the USD by 5.10% to close at N379.50/USD as at March 2021.

Nigeria’s Rising foreign debt profile brandspurng Any way out

In the quarter under review, Nigeria paid part of its Multilateral (USD81.05 million), Bilateral (USD61.38 million) and Commercial loans (USD500 million) which amounted to USD642 million.

Hence, external debt service payments fell to N126.02 billion (or USD332.07 million) in Q1 2021 from N170.60 billion (or USD472.57 million) printed in Q1 2020. Further breakdown of the total external debt stock in Q1 2021, showed that Multilateral loans accounted for 54.26% (USD17.83 billion) of which loans from International Development Association (IDA) was USD11.09 billion, loan from IMF was USD3.48 billion while others stood at USD3.26 billion.

Bilateral loan accounted for 12.73% (USD4.18 billion) of which loan from China (Exim Bank of China) was USD3.40 billion and loan from France was USD0.49 billion in Q1 2021. Commercial loans accounted for 32.47% (USD10.66 billion) of which Eurobonds was USD10.37 billion while Diasporal bond was USD0.30 billion. Local debt stock increased by 10.71% to N20.64 trillion in Q1 2021 (from N18.64 trillion in Q1 2020).

Breakdown of the domestic debt figure showed that FG’s domestic debt stock rose to N16.51 trillion in Q1 2021 (from N14.53 trillion in Q1 2020). Despite the significant rise in FG’s domestic loan, local debt service payment increased marginally by 0.59% to N612 billion in Q1 2021 from N609.13 billion recorded in Q1 2020 amid relatively low rate.

We expect Nigeria’s local debt and the annualized implicit interest rate (8.92%) to increase in 2021 given the President’s request to the National Assembly to approve N2.34 trillion new capital raising.

Also, the rising domestic interest rate environment witnessed in recent times will further exert upward pressure on debt service. Meanwhile as Nigeria turns to IMF for more loans, it may have to lean more on market-driven exchange rate policy – which may further have a pass-through effect on inflation rate.

The Women that Run Big Business in Africa

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On August 18, Harvard Business School Professor Tony Mayo, will present his research findings on what it takes for African-American women to reach the top spot in American corporations

June 10, 2021 – Africa.com undertook a rigorous research project to identify not just high profile personalities, but the women who actually run the largest, most complex businesses on the African continent. The result is called The Africa.com Definitive List of Women CEOs.

On August 18, Harvard Business School Professor Tony Mayo, will present his research findings on what it takes for African-American women to reach the top spot in American corporations. A panel of women CEOs from the Africa.com list will react to that research, noting similarities and differences for corporate women in Africa. The names of those who made the List will be revealed that day, as well.

The Africa.com Definitive List of Women CEOs is the product of a data-driven research project that began by identifying all publicly listed companies on all of the twenty-one stock exchanges in Africa – , a list of over 1400 companies. From there, the researchers screened the companies to focus on the largest companies – those with a market capitalization of $150 million USD or larger, resulting in a list of 355 corporations.

Once the researchers had identified these 355 companies, the largest in Africa, they then searched the public information available on the management teams of these companies. In order to qualify for the List, women had to have a CEO or managing director title at the head of one of these companies.

The titles were then vetted further by examining where the women fit within the company’s overall organizational structure to ensure that the women truly hold authority that is consistent with their title. Based on this effort, a handful of women were eliminated – while they had an impressive sounding title, the company’s organizational chart demonstrated that someone else actually holds bottom line profit and loss responsibility for the company.

In addition to the women selected through the process above, the analysis went on to identify two additional groups of women running Corporate Africa. One additional group of women are those who run divisions of very large African corporate entities, such that their division, if it were a standalone company, would qualify for the list with its own divisional market cap of $150 million USD or more.

The roles of the women running these divisions were vetted within the context of the company’s organizational structure – the title alone was not sufficient to make the list. The women in this group have profit and loss responsibility for a revenue generating division that would be valued at $150 million or more, on its own.

Lastly, women who run the entire African region, a region within Africa, or an African country for global corporations listed on international exchanges were then identified. To qualify for this group, only international companies with a market cap of $50 billion or more are included. The women running these businesses range from those who run a country, such as Kenya or Nigeria, to those who run all of sub-Saharan Africa for these global behemoths.

On August 18, 2021, in addition to revealing the 50 names on The Africa.com Definitive List of Women CEOs, Africa.com will provide observations and trends that emerged from the research project, including which regions and which sectors lead in appointing women to the number one spot in Corporate Africa.

“We think it is important to dig beyond the media hype, and reveal those women who have bottom line authority for Africa’s biggest corporations – many of whom have gone unnoticed. We look forward to presenting this information on August 18 alongside Harvard Business School Professor to elevate the conversation about women in Corporate Africa.”