Total Nigeria Plc H2’20 – Balance sheet deleveraging will cushion H2 earnings

TOTAL recently released its H1’20 results, reporting a 29% y/y decline in revenue to ₦106.7 billion, underperforming our estimate of ₦112.8 billion.

Notably, sales of petroleum products dropped by 32% y/y to ₦83.7 billion, largely a reflection of declines in sales volumes as well as lower fuel prices. Additionally, the company’s lubricant business posted a 15% y/y drop in turnover to ₦23.0 billion in H1’20, also dragged by weaker sales volume.

Amidst the decline in turnover and weaker operating efficiency in H1’20, TOTAL recorded an after-tax loss of ₦537 million (H1’19: PAT of ₦130 million).

On a quarterly basis, TOTAL’s revenue from petroleum products fell 56% y/y to ₦26.6 billion, as the pandemic-induced lockdown in April resulted in a sharp drop in sales volume. Specifically, sales of aviation fuels declined 83% y/y to ₦1.1 billion in Q2, as both domestic and international airports were largely shut, save for non-commercial flights.

We also highlight that the cut in the price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) to ₦125/litre in March from ₦145/litre partly contributed to the smaller revenue recorded in Q2’20. In a similar fashion, lubricant turnover slid 27% y/y to ₦9.9 billion (Vetiva estimate: ₦10 billion), bringing total revenue to ₦36.5 billion (Q2’19: ₦73.4 billion).

Although gross margin improved to 13% in Q2’20 (Q2’19: 12%), gross profit decreased to ₦4.6 billion (Q2’19: ₦8.6 billion), largely due to the decline in turnover. Further down the income statement, TOTAL reported an operating loss of ₦1.6 billion in Q2’20 (Q2’19: operating profit of ₦2.6 billion), as operating expenses-to-sales ratio worsened to 18% from 9% in Q2’19.

However, the company reduced its debt balance to ₦31.0 billion (Q1’20: ₦37.7 billion), resulting in lower finance costs of ₦830 million (Q2’19: ₦2.0 billion) in Q2’20. Despite this improvement in finance costs, alongside an unusual Petroleum Subsidy Fund (PSF) income of ₦2.0 billion, TOTAL reported a loss after tax of ₦374 million in Q2’20 (Q2’19: PAT of ₦604 million).

Margin improvement, lower finance costs to support H2 earnings

TOTAL’s Q2’20 performance was largely dragged by the lockdown in Lagos and a few other states, coupled with the weaker operating efficiency witnessed during the quarter. Although the lockdown was lifted in May, we believe the company’s turnover will decline in subsequent quarters, as fuel demand is expected to drop y/y amid social distancing restrictions.

Based on this, we have trimmed our 2020 forecast for fuel revenue to ₦180.9 billion
(previous: ₦203.9 billion). We also lowered our projection for lubricant revenue to ₦46.0 billion (previous: ₦52.4 billion), bringing our projection for total revenue to ₦227.0 billion (previous: ₦256.3 billion).

Similarly, we lowered our projection for gross margin to 14% (2019: 12%), resulting in a gross profit of ₦31.8 billion (2019: ₦35.1 billion). Meanwhile, our forecast for operating expenses has been raised to ₦27.2 billion amidst higher inflationary pressures, while we expect finance costs to come in lower at ₦3.6 billion (2019: ₦7.9 billion), driven by further deleveraging of the balance sheet.

All in, we expect earnings after tax to come in at ₦3.1 billion (2019: ₦2.3 billion), translating to an ROAE of 11% (2019: 8%).

Vetiva Research

FBNQuest Enhances its Corporate Internet Banking (CIB) Platform

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Reinforces its commitment to improving the customer experience through innovation

FBNQuest Merchant Bank, the investment banking and asset management business of FBN Holdings Plc, has announced the launch of a new Corporate Internet Banking (CIB) platform, which offers an upgraded user interface with enhanced convenience for transactions.

The CIB platform is a payment processing solution for Corporate Banking clients that provides online real-time account access for balance and transaction monitoring, investing, fund transfers, bulk payments such as salaries or payments to third parties, and other self-service requests, conveniently and securely.

An innovative internet banking application built on cutting-edge technology, the CIB platform offers an improved banking experience for Corporates, with personalised service capabilities such as the ability to customise preferred levels of authorisation based on business needs.

FBNQuest’s relaunch of the platform is in line with the group’s objective to offer a range of digital and online solutions that deliver an excellent customer experience.

Commenting on the platform, Afolabi Olorode, Head Coverage and Corporate Banking for FBNQuest Merchant Bank stated:

“In these uncertain times when we need to be more present and relevant in the lives of our customers, we are committed to ensuring our clients have easy access to their funds to sustain and grow their businesses.

“We recognise the accelerated evolution of digital financial services, and we are committed to providing superior solutions to meet the changing needs of our partners while providing access to the broader, diverse offerings of our group”.

FBNQuest also offers a Trade Information System (TIS), which is a front-end platform for Corporate Banking clients that allows users apply for and manage Global Trade Finance Service-related transactions such as Offshore Guarantees, Letters of Credit, Payment for International Services (remittances) and Bills for Collections.

“What Worries the World?”: COVID-19 is the biggest concern the 4th successive month

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…although it is not as dominant as it was.

This marks a drop from the June survey, which saw COVID-19 listed as the single most important concern in 13 out of 27 countries. On April, 25 of the 27 surveyed markets had cited the pandemic as the greatest worry when the COIVD-19 was first introduced within the survey.

What Worries the World is a monthly online survey of adults aged under 74 in 27 countries comprising Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Chile, France, Britain, Germany, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, Netherlands, Poland, Peru, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States.

On average, 43% of respondents around the world now say COVID-19 is the top issue facing their country. This is a small fall from June when 47% had cited the pandemic as the greatest concern and is 20 percent points down from the 63% registered in April.

The four major worries globally are:

Research among adults aged 16-64 in 27 participating countries. c. 19,000 per month. (January – July 2020).
Source: Ipsos Global Advisor
  1. COVID-19 (43%): Included for the first time in April, COVID-19 is still the highest-scoring global issue this month. Chile and India are now the nations most worried about this issue with 61% citing it their main concerns from the 18 issues presented to them. Next are Peru/Saudi Arabia (60%) and Japan (59%). The pandemic is the single greatest concern for 11 of the 27 surveyed nations and is a joint top worry for Brazil (Healthcare) and Sweden (Crime and Violence). The fourteen “outliers” being; Argentina (Unemployment), Belgium (Poverty and Social Inequality), France (Unemployment), Germany (Poverty and Social Inequality) Hungary (Healthcare), Israel (Unemployment), Italy (unemployment), Mexico (Crime and violence), Russia (Poverty and Social inequality), South Africa (Unemployment), South Korea (Unemployment), Spain (Unemployment), Sweden (Crime and Violence) and Turkey (Unemployment).
  2.  Unemployment (40%): The rise in concern about unemployment has stalled, which mentions down very slightly (by 2 percentage points) this month. The highest levels of concern are seen in Italy (62%) closely followed by South Africa (60%) and South Korea (59%).
  3. Poverty and Social inequality (32%): Once more Russia (scoring 59%) has the highest
    levels of concern about this issue, followed by Chile (56%).
  4. Financial/Political Corruption (27%): Hungary (54%) is now the most concerned nation
    about this issue ahead of Russia (53%) and South Africa (51%).
  5. Crime and Violence (24%): This month has seen Crime/Violence move into the top 5,
    overtaking Healthcare.
Research among adults aged 16-64 in 27 participating countries. c. 19,000 per month. (July 2020). Source: Ipsos Global Advisor

The study finds that most people across the 27 countries surveyed say that their country is on the wrong track. 39% think their country is heading in the right direction while 61% say things are on the wrong track.

Looking at how many say their nation is on the wrong track (61% on average), we find Chile (84%), South Africa (79%), Hungary (77%), France/Belgium (73%) most worried about their country’s direction of travel.

Just seven nations have seen an increase in national optimism from last month with 16 nations showing a drop. Four nations remain the same in their sentiments about national direction.

The survey was conducted in 27 countries around the world via the Ipsos Online Panel system. The 27 countries included are Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Chile, France, Great Britain, Germany, Hungary, India, Israel, Italy, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, Netherlands, Peru, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Turkey and the United States of America.

Corruption and COVID-19

Corruption, the abuse of public office for private gain, is about more than wasted money: it erodes the social contract and corrodes the government’s ability to help grow the economy in a way that benefits all citizens. ut the COVID-19 pandemic has heightened the importance of stronger governance for three reasons.

First, governments around the world are playing a bigger role in the economy to combat the pandemic and provide economic lifelines to people and firms. This expanded role is crucial but it also increases opportunities for corruption.

To help ensure the money and measures are helping the people who need it most, governments need timely and transparent reporting, ex-post audits and accountability procedures, and close cooperation with civil society and the private sector.

Second, as public finances worsen, countries need to prevent tax evasion and the waste and loss of funds caused by corruption in public spending.

Third, crises test people’s trust in government and institutions, and ethical behaviour becomes more salient when medical services are in such high demand. Evidence of corruption could undermine a country’s ability to respond effectively to the crisis, deepening the economic impact, and threatening a loss of political and social cohesion.

During this crisis, the IMF hasn’t taken its eye off the ball of our governance and anti-corruption work.  Our message to all governments has been clear: spend whatever you need but keep the receipts because we don’t want accountability to be lost in the process.

In our lending work, we have provided quick disbursements to meet urgent needs. At the same time, enhanced governance measures to track COVID-19 related spending (PDF) have been part of the emergency financing for countries to fight the pandemic.

Borrowing countries have committed to (i) undertake and publish independent ex-post audits of crisis-related spending and (ii) publish crisis-related procurement contracts on the government’s website, including identifying the companies awarded the contract and their beneficial owners. The IMF also ensured that emergency resources are subject to the IMF’s Safeguards Assessment policy.

Long term reform beyond the crisis

Governance safeguards for emergency assistance related to COVID-19 are part of a more comprehensive effort by the IMF to improve its member countries good governance and efforts to tackle corruption.

The IMF has significantly increased its focus on governance and corruption over the last few years.  We adopted in 2018 an enhanced framework designed to make our work with countries more candid, evenhanded, and effective.  This laid the foundation for our COVID-19 policy and lending response, where stronger governance matters even more.

We recently assessed our progress in recent years and published the findings in a staff analysis. Here are the key highlights:

  • We speak more candidly and in-depth about governance issues with countries. Text mining analysis shows that we increased coverage of governance and corruption issues in our annual assessments of countries’ economic health and in our lending programs. Governance-related references more than doubled in staff reports in the 18 months after the IMF approved the framework, compared with 2017. In 2019, the IMF discussed governance with countries four times more than the average over the prior ten years. Just recently—for instance—our surveillance work has focused on central bank governance and operations in Liberia, financial sector oversight in Moldova, and the anti-corruption framework in Mexico. Fund staff are proposing more concrete governance and anti-corruption recommendations.

IMF-supported lending programs include specific conditionality related to governance and anti-corruption reforms, with governance improvements now being a core objective of many programs.

  • We have stepped up technical assistance and training to help countries strengthen governance and anti-corruption efforts. We aim to help countries improve governance in areas such as tax administration, expenditure oversight, fiscal transparency, financial sector oversight, anti-corruption institutions, and asset declarations for senior officials.  This includes governance diagnostic missions to a dozen countries, comprising detailed analysis of governance weaknesses based on legal frameworks and proposing prioritized solutions.
  • Moreover, so far, ten advanced economies—Austria, Canada, the Czech Republic, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and the United States— have participated in the voluntary assessment of their national frameworks to limit opportunities for transnational corruption. The purpose of the assessments, conducted by the IMF, is to determine the degree to which a country does two things: (1) criminalizes and prosecutes bribery of foreign public officials and (2) prevents foreign officials from concealing corrupt proceeds in its own financial system or domestic economy. The IMF strongly encourages member countries to volunteer for such coverage in its annual economic health checks.

Curbing corruption requires government ownership of reforms, international cooperation, and a joint effort with civil society and the private sector. It also involves political will and the assiduous implementation of reforms over months and years.

This crisis will sharpen our focus on governance in the years ahead because of the pandemic’s devastating effects and costs for people and economies.  Countries can’t afford to lose precious resources at the best of times, and even less so during and after the pandemic. If ever there was a time for anti-corruption reforms, it is now.

By Vitor Gaspar, Martin Mühleisen, and Rhoda Weeks-Brown

TAJBank Holds 1st AGM as Shareholders Laud Performance

TAJBank Ltd has held its 1st Annual General Meeting (AGM) in Abuja recently as shareholders lauded the institution for an impressive performance over its first month of operations covering December 2019.

The bank recorded remarkable growth across key performance indicators signifying not only viability but the success of the non-interest banking model in the Nigerian banking environment.

The AGM was chaired by Alhaji Tanko Isiaku Gwamna, TABank’s Chairman. In his welcome address, Gwamna noted that the board of directors had offered exemplary leadership since inception and thus been able to successfully chart and navigate the course of business for the rising institution.

‘’Our business focus from the inception of our operations has remained unwavering and we remain committed to offering enhanced profitability and higher returns in 2020. Offering consistent value to meet the dynamic needs of our teeming customers has remained the core thrust of our business strategy.

We are dedicated to ensuring this is fully exemplified, one valued customer at a time, as we build a sustainable ethical brand through exceptional service, innovation and professionalism whilst enhancing stakeholders’ value ’’ he further added.

The AGM is the first to be held by the Bank since its launch into the Nigerian financial space and held virtually.

The Bank has since inception recorded a number of milestones in less than a year of operations such as launching its Agency Banking Network in 17 states in the country as well as its recent appointment as a receiving Bank by the Federal Government on Sukuk. TAJBank also recently launched Nigeria’s first ethical e-commerce site, TAJMall.  

Since the commencement of operations, TAJBank has been a roaring success proving that the non-interest banking model holds tremendous potentials that can transform the Nigerian economy.

Ecobank Academy Becomes The First Corporate Member Of The Global Business School Network

Marking a seminal moment in the history of the organization, the Global Business School Network (GBSN) is excited to welcome Togo-based Ecobank Academy as its first corporate member.

GBSN has been building management education capacity in and for the developing world for over 17 years.

The core of the network spans 6 continents with more than 100 leading business schools from 50 countries, whose leaders, faculty, and students engage in programs to improve access to quality, locally relevant management and entrepreneurship education.

Since its beginning in 1985, the Ecobank Group has been committed to economic and social development across sub-Saharan Africa. Operating in all regions in sub-Saharan Africa, the Ecobank Academy is one of the largest corporate universities in Africa. Each year Ecobank Academy trains more than 14,000 in 39 countries––35 in Africa and 4 outside of Africa.

Both organizations have a shared vision for Africa, to have the talent it needs to generate prosperity. GBSN CEO Dan LeClair says “the aim is to work together over the long term to build a stronger connection between business and business schools—to develop the talent for Africa to achieve what it wants. The space between education and practice holds the greatest potential for innovative solutions.”

On the partnership, Simon Rey, Group Head of Ecobank Academy, Talent, and Organizational Development says “It is a privilege to be the first corporate university to join GBSN. We believe practical and just-in-time education is crucial to help solve some of the most pressing challenges and, at the same time, unlock tremendous opportunities to advance the social-economic agenda.

We are looking forward to collaborating with other members and to together bring world-class capabilities to create and implement solution-driven programs impacting African SMEs, MSMEs, Public Sector, Development organizations, Youth, and other professionals.” 

To mark the start of their formal relationship, GBSN and Ecobank Academy hosted a virtual forum to explore Africa’s changing talent needs. The series commenced with a conversation between Rey and LeClair, July 16, 2020.

Gov. Ishaku Approves Tax Relief Measures for Businesses, Citizens over Covid-19

Taraba State Governor, Arc. Darius Ishaku on Monday approved tax relief measures to ease the effects of COVID-19 on citizens and businesses in the State.

Commissioner for Finance, Dr. Jesse Ashumate announced the measures at a press conference in Jalingo.

Ashumate said the Taraba State government was conscious of the threat of COVID-19 on businesses, organisations and individuals and approved the measures to cushion the effects of the pandemic.

Taraba State Governor, Arc. Darius Dickson Ishaku | www.wordpress-1516176-5827464.cloudwaysapps.com

According to him, the measures include; extension of timeline for filing withholding tax return from 21st day to the last working day of the month following the month of deduction.

“50 percent reduction on personal income tax (PIT) of informal sector taxpayers made before 31st December, 2020.

“Use of electronic platforms for payment of taxes and processing of tax clearance certificate as well as automatic discharge of vehicles update arrears beyond one year of expiration ending 31st December, 2020.

“Automatic waiver of 50 percent arrears volume on back duty assessment before September 2020.

“Allow installment payment on tax due to informal sector taxpayers into the agreed segment of deferral settlement programme,” he said.

The Commissioner added that waiver has been granted for late filing of returns for taxpayers whose returns are submitted after 30th June 2020.

This is even as he said desk reviews and tax audit request information will be communicated through electronic mail.

The Finance Commissioner noted that Governor Darius Ishaku approved the measures in line with global realities, adding “countries like the United Kingdom, the United States and even the federal government have given such incentives to their citizens and the Taraba State government cannot be left out.”

Tizeti upgrades core network infrastructure capacity to 100Gbps

In line with its focus on accelerating access to affordable broadband connectivity in Africa’s underserved populations, and more recently, due to the increased customer demand for connectivity solutions, Tizeti, West Africa’s pioneer solar-based internet service provider today announced the successful upgrade of its core network infrastructure capacity to 100Gbps.

This upgrade will provide additional capacity to support Tizeti’s services as well as future upgrades. It also ensures that its customers continue to enjoy high-quality and reliable internet services which meet the demand for the exponential increase in unlimited internet data consumption due to the surge in the numbers of customers working from home.

The project involved upgrading Tizeti’s existing Gigabit fibre connection of its Lagos Points of Presence (POPs) to 10Gbps and relocating from its owned & operated data centre to a world-class Tier III data centre.

With this increased fibre capacity, Tizeti is poised to continue to offer its affordable and unlimited wi-fi internet service to its customers, while expanding its service offering to include enterprise and business customers.

Announcing the upgrade, Tizeti’s Chief Executive Officer, Kendall Ananyi, said that the upgrade will increase the reliability of its services by providing multiple routes for network transit to the internet.

Ananyi confirmed the 100Gbps upgrade meets wider connectivity requirements, such as low latency as a result of hosting its 4G LTE core servers within its network in Nigeria. This guarantees faster, more reliable connectivity, as well as reduced operational costs.

“Our consistent investment in our core infrastructure shows our dedication to meeting the global challenges of increased data use driven by teleworking, distance learning, remote gaming, video chat, and streaming.

We are committed to ensuring that our customers remain ahead of the digital transformation curve with the most resilient internet service. We are committed to reducing the cost of data and accelerating internet connectivity across the continent while maintaining our competitive edge with quality unlimited internet service” Ananyi said.

In his comments, Tizeti’s Chief Operations Officer, Ifeanyi Okonkwo, said, “Tizeti has consistently delivered on its mission to provide unlimited internet to our customers and this upgrade will allow our customers enjoy better browsing experience during this time of increased data consumption. We are proud to announce that our customers can do more on our network, from streaming their favourite movies and series to working and staying connected from home”.

Tizeti enables millions of Africans to access the internet through its solar-powered towers in Nigeria and provides residences and businesses with unlimited high-speed broadband internet; covering Lagos, Ogun, and Rivers state.

Dubbed the “Comcast for Africa”, Tizeti has installed over 25,000 public Wifi hotspots within Nigeria with 1,500,000 users and partnered with Facebook to offer Express Wi-Fi, rolling out thousands of new internet hotspots across Nigeria’s capital.

The company has since expanded its services to Ghana with new consumer-facing brand GhanaWifi.com and its Voice service WifiCall.ng is available for download on Google Playstore and Apple Store. The company also recently launched its 4G services in selected Nigerian cities.

89% Of Nigerian Parents Use Their Gadgets To Entertain Their Child When They Travel – Kaspersky

While many countries slowly ease the lockdown measures that were implemented because of the Coronavirus pandemic, the interest to domestic and international travel starts to increase. Kaspersky throws light on some travel patterns of parents and their children on the go.

According to the Responsible Digital Parenting survey, 89% of the parents in Nigeria use their gadgets to entertain their child when they travel. Furthermore, 33% of the respondents try to calm down their children with the help of devices and 22% aim to gain some spare time for themselves. As a result, there is a chance that children are often left one-on-one with gadgets.

What is more, 56% of Nigerian children have their own smartphone or tablet, according to the survey. Among such a big number, the majority of children were 2-6 years old when they first got their own device.

Nevertheless, 31% of Nigerian parents have not discussed safety rules on the Internet with their child. It means that the children are not always aware of how to behave themselves safe online.

“Most parents give their children gadgets in order to entertain them, spare some time for themselves or calm down their kids. However, they shouldn’t use digital devices uncontrolled.

It has been estimated by Kaspersky that 19% of Nigerian parents would like to monitor their child’s digital life better. This can be done by limiting screen time and holding conversations; however, a security solution is needed as well,” states Andrey Sidenko, Head of Child Safety at Kaspersky Network.

In order to teach children to use their gadgets in a beneficial way, to safeguard them from inappropriate content, take the following advice:

Explain to your child the ethics of the Internet (not to write anything offending or insulting, not to post embarrassing, indecent photos, etc.) and safety rules on the Internet (not to respond to strangers, not to publish too much private information etc.).

Communicate with your child. Discover his or her interests and suggest suitable materials and video bloggers. Ensure them that you are a modern parent who understands them and to whom they can always come for a piece of advice.

Install a reliable security solution such as Kaspersky Safe Kids to monitor your child’s activity successfully.

Airtel Partners Dynamiss to Subsidize Online Education for Nigerian Schools

In an effort to accelerate and deepen the growth of online education in Nigeria, leading telecoms operator, Airtel Nigeria, has announced a partnership with Dynamiss, an Educational Technology company, to subsidize data and mobile Internet for all Nigerian schools and students using the Dynamiss Learning Management Systems.

Under the partnership, both organizations are collaborating to ensure that Data access for educational purposes on any of the platforms provided by Dynamiss will now be subsidized and made more affordable for schools and young Nigerians.

Specifically, customers of Airtel Nigeria who access the Dynamiss platforms will now enjoy up to 50% discount on data/mobile Internet charges effective immediately.

This discount also applies to schools, students and even parents on the Airtel network who use any of the educational platforms provided Dynamiss.

Commenting on the new initiative, Valerie Sodeinde, COO of Dynamiss, said that “the discounted data from Airtel is a key game changer for the adoption of Online/Digital education by most schools in Nigeria.

“What Airtel is demonstrating with this particular initiative is a commitment to support education despite the unrelenting threat posed by the COVID-19 pandemic.

As many more schools have now developed an appreciation for an online educational system, parents, teachers and schools will most certainly benefit from this very affordable data plan. This decisive initiative by Airtel is a positive response that will be welcomed by educators and students alike.”

Whilst Online Education platforms cannot fully replace conventional schools’ they now constitute a whole new way of learning in the 21st century.

In recent months since the COVID-19 pandemic struck, Microsoft has recorded that more than 350million subscribers now use its educational platforms and this number continues to increase daily across the globe.

Dynamiss, a Microsoft Partner Organisation, is one of the nation’s foremost Educational Technology companies and is currently providing Learning Management Systems (LMS), Virtual Robotics, Virtual Laboratories, Secure Examination Portals and Certified Online Training for Teachers on Digital Education Tools, for a variety of schools across the nation.

In collaboration with Microsoft and in a bid to help schools adopt digital technology rapidly, Dynamiss is currently giving every school in Nigeria its Dynamiss Learning Management LP365 System completely free till the start of September 2020.