How COVID-19 will Increase Inequality in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies

Must Read

List of United Bank for Africa (UBA) Sort Codes & Branches (with addresses) in Nigeria

The sort code is a number that usually identifies both the bank and the branch where an account is held. The sort...

How To Block Your Bank Account And SIM Card In Case Of Emergency

Losing your phone and wallet or having them stolen can be very frustrating. However, in case that happens to...

List of Access Bank Sort Codes & Branches (with addresses) in Nigeria

The sort code is a number which usually identifies both the bank and the branch where an account is...
- Advertisement -

Emerging markets and developing economies grew consistently in the two decades before the COVID-19 pandemic hit, allowing for much-needed gains in poverty reduction and life expectancy. The crisis now puts much of that progress at risk while further widening the gap between rich and poor.

How COVID-19 will Increase Inequality in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies
How COVID-19 will Increase Inequality in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies – www.brandspurng

Despite the pre-pandemic gains in poverty reduction and lifespans, many of these countries have struggled to reduce income inequality. At the same time, they saw persistently high shares of inactive youth (i.e., not in employment, education, or training), wide inequality in education, and large gaps remaining in economic opportunities for women. COVID-19 is expected to make inequality even worse than past crises since measures to contain the pandemic have had disproportionate effects on vulnerable workers and women.

As part of our latest World Economic Outlook, we explore two facts about the current pandemic to estimate its effect on inequality: a person’s ability to work from home and the drop in GDP expected for most countries in the world.

The impact of where you work

- Advertisement -

First, the ability to work from home has been key during the pandemic. A recent IMF study shows that the ability to work from home is lower among low-income workers than for high-income earners. Based on data from the United States, we know that sectors with activities more likely to be performed from home saw a smaller reduction in employment. These two facts combined tell us that lower-income workers were less likely to be able to work from home and more likely to lose their jobs as a result of the pandemic, which would worsen the income distribution.

Second, we use the IMF’s GDP growth projections for 2020 as a proxy for what the aggregate decrease in income will be. We distribute this loss across income brackets in proportion to their ability to work from home. With this new income distribution, we compute a post-COVID summary measure of income distribution (Gini coefficient) for 2020 for 106 countries and compute the percent change. The higher the Gini coefficient, the greater the inequality, with high-income individuals receiving much larger percentages of the total income of the population.

What this tells us is the estimated effect from COVID-19 on the income distribution is much larger than that of past pandemics. It also provides evidence that the gains for emerging market economies and low-income developing countries achieved since the global financial crisis could be reversed. The analysis shows that the average Gini coefficient for emerging market and developing economies will rise to 42.7, which is comparable to the level in 2008. The impact would be larger for low-income developing countries despite slower progress since 2008.

How COVID-19 will Increase Inequality in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies

- Advertisement -

 Welfare will suffer

This widening inequality on average has a clear impact on people’s well-being. We assess the progress made before the pandemic and what we can expect for 2020 in terms of welfare using a measure that goes beyond GDP. We use a welfare measure that combines information on consumption growth, life expectancy, leisure time, and consumption inequality. Based on these measures, from 2002 to 2019, emerging markets and developing economies enjoyed welfare growth of almost 6 percent, which is 1.3 percentage points higher than per capita real GDP growth, suggesting many aspects of peoples’ lives were seeing improvement. The increase was mostly due to improvements in life expectancy.

The pandemic could reduce welfare by 8 percent in emerging markets and developing countries with more than half of it stemming from the excess change in inequality as a result of a person’s ability to work from home. Note that these estimates do not reflect any income redistribution measures after the pandemic. This means that countries can dampen the effect on inequality and on welfare more generally by policy actions.

How COVID-19 will Increase Inequality in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies

- Advertisement -
Read Also:  Unitar's Response To Covid-19 Pandemic

 What can we do about it?

In our latest World Economic Outlook, we outlined some policies and measures to support affected people and firms that will be essential for keeping the inequality gap from widening further.

Investment in retraining and reskilling programs can boost reemployment prospects for adaptable workers whose job duties may see long-term changes as a result of the pandemic. Meanwhile, expanding access to the internet and promoting financial inclusion will be important for an increasingly digital world of work.

Relaxing eligibility criteria for unemployment insurance and extending paid family and sick leave can also cushion the impact the crisis is having on jobs. Social assistance in the form of conditional cash transfers, food stamps, and nutrition and medical benefits for low-income households must not be withdrawn prematurely.

Policies to prevent decades of hard-won gains from being lost will be critical to ensuring a more equitable and prosperous future beyond the crisis.

- Advertisement -
How COVID-19 will Increase Inequality in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies - Brand SpurHow COVID-19 will Increase Inequality in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies - Brand Spur

Subscribe to BrandSpur Ng

Subscribe for latest updates. Signup to best of brands and business news, informed analysis and opinions among others that can propel you, your business or brand to greater heights.

- Advertisement -

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

How COVID-19 will Increase Inequality in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies - Brand SpurHow COVID-19 will Increase Inequality in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies - Brand Spur

Latest News

The new 2022 Volkswagen Golf R brings more power, tech and fun than ever before

It has been just under two decades since Volkswagen revealed the first Golf R32, a then-unexpected combination of the...

WorldRemit Launches a New Price Drop on Transfers to Nigeria this Black Friday

WorldRemit, a leading global digital payments company, has announced the launch of its new zero percent pricing for international transfers to Nigeria. The new lowered...

MTN enhances Business Growth at ICT and Business Skills Programme

MTN Nigeria, as part of its ICT and Business Skills programme, hosted young Nigerians to a capacity-building workshop. The workshop was facilitated by trainers...

Orange launches its 5G network by making quality of service its priority

Orange announces the launch of its 5G network in 15 French municipalities, as of 3 December 2020, including Nice, Marseille, Le Mans, Angers and...

BREAKING: Konga Bulk offers 35,000 laptops, PCs, others at huge discounts Friday

Konga, Nigeria’s foremost e-Commerce giant, is set to make available over 35,000 units of laptops, Personal Computers (PCs), tablets and complimentary printers at giveaway...
- Advertisement -
BrandsPur Weekly Cartoons
- Advertisement -How COVID-19 will Increase Inequality in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies - Brand SpurHow COVID-19 will Increase Inequality in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies - Brand Spur