Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc – A New Growth Phase; Deserves A Price Re-Rate

In its recently released 9M-2020/21 numbers, Flour Mills of Nigeria reported a solid 31.1% y/y growth in Revenue to N555.3bn from N423.5bn. Q3-2020/21 numbers were also decent as Revenue grew 31.1% y/y to N200.1bn.

Furthermore, slower growth in the Cost of Sales and Operating expenses drove margin expansion and consequently faster growth in Operating Profit. Operating margin expanded 50bps y/y to print at 6.3% in 9M-2020/21 while Operating Profit surged 42.7% y/y.

Also, Profit Before Tax (PBT) and Profit After Tax (PAT) grew 92.1% y/y and 90.9% y/y respectively.

Group Revenue sustains uptrend:

In Flour mills’ 9M-2020/21 results, the company reported a growth of 31.1% y/y in Revenue to N555.3bn from N423.5bn in 9M-2019/20.

The growth in Revenue was driven by broad-based growth across business units as Food (+31.2% y/y to N343.9bn), Agro-allied (+29.9% y/y to N105.6bn), Sugar (+33.4% y/y to N90.2bn) and Support Services (+24.8% y/y to N15.6bn) recorded solid y/y growths.

Flour Mills of Nigeria PLC Finishes Strong With A Record 184% Growth In After-Tax Profit

The stellar revenue performance was broadly driven by a confluence of factors including; introduction of new products at lower price points to target price-sensitive consumers, resizing popular products to lower SKUs and lower price points, and sustained investment in route to market.

Notably, in the Support business, the subdued influx of imported packaging alternatives and the introduction of smaller SKU bags for Flour, Detergent & Cement supported BAGCO’s Revenue. That said, we note that price increases on select products in the Food & Sugar businesses further supported Revenue.

Operational efficiency, better pricing, improved volume mix drove margin expansion:

Cost of Sales grew, albeit at a slower pace to Revenue, climbing higher by 28.5% y/y to N482.9bn in 9M-2020/21 from N375.7bn in 9M-2019/20. As a result, Gross Profit accelerated, up 51.5% y/y to N72.4bn in 9M-2020/21.

Furthermore, the slower growth in the Cost of Sales supported an expansion in the Gross margin (+170bps y/y to 13.0%). The improvement in margins was majorly supported by price increment across some key product categories which we estimate at an average of 23.6% given the single digit 6.0% growth in volumes across all business segments.

ln addition improved operational efficiency in the Agro-allied business provided further support for cost management. Lastly, we note the company benefitted from improved volume mix in Flour, Sugar and Oils, where demand was skewed to high margin products.

OPEX growth curtailed but FX losses dent performance:

Operating expenses grew at a sub-inflationary rate of 6.1% y/y to N25.1bn in 9M-2020/21 from N23.7bn in 9M-2019/20. The growth in OPEX was driven by upticks in Selling & Distribution expenses (+5.5% y/y) and Administrative expenses (+6.3% y/y).

However, the company reported an Other Operating Loss of N12.6bn in 9M-2020/21 (Compared to N0.5bn Other Operating Gain in 9M2019/20). The Other Operating Loss was driven by FX loss of N14.6bn recorded during the period.

The FX losses incurred was due to IFRS 16 accounting revaluation of the USD denominated long term port concession contract which largely impacts the Support business. Nevertheless, Operating Profit grew by a sturdy 42.7% y/y to print at N35.2bn in 9M-2020/21 from N24.7bn in 9M-2019/20.

In addition, the Operating margin expanded 50bps y/y to 6.3% in 9M-2020/21.

Balance sheet optimization strategies paid off:

In 9M-2020/21, Flour mills sustained efforts at restructuring and optimizing its balance sheet following the depressed yield environment.

As a result, the company raised long term finance via bond issuances at cheaper rates while paying down some of its short term debt in form of Commercial Papers. In addition, proper working capital management strategies helped drive a surge in cash generation.

Consequently, the company recorded a 30.8% y/y decline in Net debt to N66.2bn in 9M– 2020/21. Against this backdrop, Net Finance Cost fell 6.4% y/y to N11.6bn in 9M-2020/21
on the back of higher Finance Income (+356.7% y/y to N3.3bn) despite the increase in
Finance cost (+13.8% y/y to N14.9bn).

As a result, Profit Before Tax galloped by 92.1% y/y to N23.6bn in 9M-2020/21 from N12.3bn in 9M-2019/20. While Effective Tax Rate edged higher by 4bps, it had minimal impact on Net Income which surged 90.9% y/y to print at N15.6bn in 9M-2020/21 from N8.2bn in 9M-2019/20.

Strong outing expected in Q4:

Looking ahead, we hold an optimistic view on the performance of Flour mills for the end of the 2020/21 financial year. We expect volume growth to remain decent in Q4-2020/21 as market sentiments indicate demand for the company’s brands remains strong despite recent price increases implemented.

In addition, the company announced it will continue to invest in its route to market with a focus on its B2C strategy which continues to pay-off. Lastly, we note that revenue growth in the Agro-allied business slowed in Q3-2020/21 on the back of scarcity of key raw materials which prevented the company from meeting demand.

Thus, we expect Revenue growth in Q4-2020/21 to print higher than recent quarterly revenue growth. We forecast revenue growth of 30.3% for FY-2020/21E.

Immune to COVID-19?

We expect margins to remain strong through FY-2020/21E premised on the impact of improved product pricing, improved volume mix tilting towards high margin products and sustained operational efficiency in Agro-allied business.

We expect this to outweigh the impact of currency pressures resulting from multiple naira devaluations as well as an uptick in prices of local raw materials. As a result, we model a cost margin of 87.0% in FY 2020/21E (vs. 88.5% in FY 2019/20E).

Also, we expect the operating margin to remain strong as the company’s efforts at curtailing operating expenses growth have paid off. That said, we expect the FX losses booked on the long term port concession deal for the Support business to continue to weigh on operating performance.

Lastly, we expect to see further evidence of the balance sheet optimization strategies and working capital management on bottom line. We expect these to translate into lower Net Finance cost for FY 2020/21 relative to FY 2019/20.

Overall, we estimate Net Income to print at N19.7bn for FY 2020/21 which implies a 73.5% y/y growth compared to FY 2019/20.

Growth momentum may taper over 2022E-2025E:

However, we note that subsequent forecast years is expected to see the growth momentum taper. We expect to see the impact of the border reopening to begin to weigh on the Sugar and Flour business.

While management stated that the Federal government has agreed to put in place measures to curb the problem of incessant smuggling, history indicates such promises can only be taken with a pinch of salt.

In addition, we note that revenue growth in 9M-2020/21 has been largely price-driven (price grew by an average estimate of 23.6% y/y vs volume growth of 6.0%). Thus, we think the underlying impact of depressed consumer pockets would weigh on Revenue growth and consequently force consumers to trade down the product chain.

The current price point presents an attractive entry opportunity:

Following marginal revisions to our forecasts, we raise our target price to N46.6/s from N46.0/s previously largely reflective of the marginal adjustments to revenue and cost line items.

Our target price implies a 59.5% upside to the current price of N29.20/s. We forecast an FY-2020/21E dividend of N2.00/s (at an estimated payout ratio of 41.5%) which implies a dividend yield of 6.8%.

Justifying our TP, Flour mills currently trades at a PE ratio of 6.4x compared to a 5-year average of 8.7x implying a 35.9% discount. In our opinion, the company’s pricing deserves a re-rating considering the record Revenue and Profits level set which is reflected in our target price.

Financial Highlights (N’Mn)

Flour Mills of Nigeria Plc - A New Growth Phase; Deserves A Price Re-Rate Brandspurng
Sources: Company Financials, United Capital Research

How British American Tobacco sells nicotine to young people

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In this report by the Bureau of Investigative Journalism, Campaign reveals the marketing strategies used by tobacco companies to maintain the market for nicotine products.

Last year the Spanish boyband Dvicio were riding high after their latest album topped the charts. The “boys” – by now all in their late 20s or early 30s – were the summer’s cover stars for Like!, a tween magazine. Despite the pandemic, the band were still touring Spain. But these were gigs with a difference.

The concerts were sponsored by British American Tobacco (BAT), one of the world’s largest cigarette companies. At an exclusive gig in Madrid, the front rows were full of influencers there to promote Glo, BAT’s new heated tobacco product. Behind them sat people who had won tickets via a lottery on Glo’s Instagram account. For those who missed out, there was another chance to see Dvicio at the Starlite Festival in Marbella – also sponsored by Glo.

How British American Tobacco sells nicotine to young people Brandspurng
Main images: young people vaping; a woman using BAT’s heated tobacco device Glo (Getty Images)

BAT has told regulators around the world that its new products, including heated tobacco and oral nicotine, are for current adult smokers. But as these sponsorships make clear, it has launched an aggressive £1bn marketing campaign that leans heavily on social media, concerts and sporting events, which could have the effect of encouraging young people to pick up a potentially deadly tobacco habit that still kills 8 million people a year, notwithstanding long-established rules aimed at preventing this.

The Bureau can reveal that several of these tactics, employed in different countries around the world, have attracted a new generation including non-smokers to highly addictive nicotine and tobacco products – and that this seems to be a consequence of BAT’s plans for yet more growth.

These tactics include:

  • Presenting nicotine products as cool and aspirational in a glossy youth-focused advertising campaign;

  • Paying social media influencers to promote e-cigarettes, nicotine pouches and tobacco on Instagram, notwithstanding the platform’s ban on the practice;

  • Sponsoring music and sporting events, including an F1 e-sports tournament that was streamed live on YouTube and could be watched by children;

  • And an international free samples offer for nicotine pouches and e-cigarettes appears to have attracted underage people and non-smokers.

BAT told the Bureau: “All marketing activity for our products will only be directed towards adult consumers and is not designed to engage or appeal to youth… All our marketing is done responsibly, in strict accordance with our international marketing principles, local laws, legislation and platform policies… We only use influencers in some countries where it’s permitted, and social media platform policies allow.”

Glo is part of the latest salvo of “next-generation products” launched by BAT in an attempt to diversify away from cigarettes and – experts fear – addict the next generation to nicotine or tobacco.

Despite claiming these products are aimed at adults who already smoke, in part to help them quit cigarettes, there are clear signs the business also wants to attract new customers. Alongside its slogan “A better tomorrow”, BAT’s mission is “stimulating the senses of new adult generations”.

In investor presentations, BAT has said it wants to increase the overall size of the nicotine market. Its own research shows that at least half of adult vapers and those using nicotine pouches were not using nicotine before – ie, had never smoked.

“It is very clear that these corporations are spending huge amounts of money in developing new products,” said Martin McKee, professor of European public health at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. “This makes no sense whatsoever if these are [meant to be] cessation products that will be used for a short while.

“The only rationale for putting this amount of effort into the design is to create a new generation that is addicted to nicotine.”

New habits

The young and the beautiful of Sweden are posting about a new craze: ice-white nicotine pouches that you put between your gums and teeth. Called Velo (or Lyft in some markets), they come in various flavours. Adverts emphasise them as discreet.

A hashtag for the pouches, #lyftsnus, has clocked nearly 13 million views on TikTok. In an earnest video, one fan lip syncs to a meme after showing her followers a container of pouches: “People think I’m obsessed with this, but I’m okay with it – I am obsessed with it, but I think it is an obsession that doesn’t hurt anyone.”

The facts suggest otherwise. Nicotine is toxic to the developing adolescent brain. BAT was forced to withdraw its nicotine pouches in Russia, where products made by other brands have been blamed for a number of teenage hospitalisations and linked to one death. Unfortunately, that does not appear to have stopped BAT from seemingly setting its sights on younger generations in other markets.

One 18-year-old Swede who spoke to the Bureau said half the girls in his class were using Lyft, which they found much more appealing than snus, a similar product made with tobacco that is historically popular in Sweden. “Lyft has got this super-cool, Södermalm-trendy, influencer-aura about it,” he said. “It’s become trendy to use Lyft. Old-man snus has that entire association with Norrland and EPA-tractors and not everyone wants to get on that train.”

He added: “If you just take a look at the packaging: the bottom part’s transparent, so that’s a bit futuristic, and then the lid’s white with a different colour for each taste. It’s like going into a sweet shop. The packaging looks a lot more festive than packaging that looks like it’s from the 1800s. Lyft’s aware of what they’re doing and they do it well.”

Paul Lageweg, director of new categories at BAT, has boasted of the appeal of nicotine pouches among adult Gen Z and millennials. He identified Pakistan and Kenya as key trial markets, calling it BAT’s most exciting opportunity.

In Pakistan, the Bureau discovered that samples of BAT’s Velo nicotine pouches have been given away free. This seemed to be part of a large-scale campaign where young brand reps, working on commission, handed out samples at parties, shopping malls, tea shops, restaurants and tobacconists.

There are concerns that the brand has also actively encouraged non-nicotine users to take up Velo. One man in Pakistan told an official Velo social media account that he was using nicotine for the first time in the form of Velo. Velo responded by saying it was “so excited” and asked for feedback. “Lit af” [Lit as fuck], the man responded. BAT denies carrying out any inappropriate marketing activity in Pakistan.

One 17-year-old in Pakistan told the Bureau that they were offered a free sample without being asked for proof of age. A similar incident was recorded in the UK last October, when a 17-year-old in Bath was offered a free sample of BAT’s Vype e-cigarette without verifying their age or if they smoked. BAT said it hands-free samples only to adult smokers.

In Kenya, the alleged availability of Lyft pouches through vending machines at major shopping centres prompted the Ministry of Health to write to the Pharmacy and Poisons Board. In the letter, the ministry described the practice as “contrary to the law”. BAT said: “Our Kenyan subsidiary, BAT Kenya, strongly denies it has ever sold Lyft pouches in automatic vending machines in Kenya. BAT Kenya has confirmed this in writing to the Poisons and Pharmacy Board and Ministry of Health. BAT’s guidance to its retailers requires them to ensure that the product is only physically accessible by the retailer.”

In the opinion of Anne Kendagor, head of Kenya’s Tobacco Control Division: “The industry has been saying that the product was meant to help smokers quit but it was being marketed to non-smokers, the youth… which means it was not serving its purpose.

“It should be sold to cigarette smokers only. Our surveillance showed that it is new entrants, the young people are the ones starting to use it.”

(In response to the Bureau’s inquiries in Kenya, BAT’s PR agency asked our reporter “what is your price” to hand over our research. The agency told the Bureau it “has a zero-tolerance policy towards any form of bribery”, is carrying out an investigation and in the meantime had suspended the employee. BAT said it had dropped the agency.)

“The tobacco industry has a very long and storied and horrible history of targeting young people,” said Taylor Billings, associate media director of the campaign group Corporate Accountability. “So to now all of a sudden to think because they have a new marketing campaign they may not be using some of the same tactics they have used for the last 20 years is a bit naive.”

A social media addiction

The target may not have changed, but the tactics have been updated for the digital age.

In Pakistan, BAT turned to TikTok for its #OpenTheCan ad campaign for Velo. Elsewhere the company used online influencers; data analysis by the Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids shows that Facebook and Instagram posts from 40 influencers using Velo’s hashtags have been viewed 13.1 million times and have a potential audience of over 181 million.

As the pouches contain no tobacco they escape regulation under most countries’ tobacco laws and advertising regulations. Facebook’s own rules specify that influencers cannot post branded content promoting tobacco and e-cigarette products across any of their platforms, although the Bureau still found dozens that had slipped through the cracks.

A Facebook spokesperson said: “We don’t allow adverts or branded content that promote tobacco-related products on Instagram, and we removed the violating content brought to our attention.”

BAT said all the influencers it works with provide validated evidence that the vast majority of their followers are adults.

Billings said the posts indicated BAT had been targeting a young audience. “The tobacco industry is too well resourced for things to be a coincidence,” she added. “They are not accidentally placing shiny adverts on a platform that have a vast percentage of its users as Gen Z or young Millennials.”

Paid promotion by Kenyan influencers gave the Lyft brand a glamorous, aspirational appeal. On Jumia, a shopping site popular with Kenya’s young middle class, BAT sold Lyft under the party category. (The Bureau learned this month that BAT has since pulled Lyft from sale in Kenya.) Beside pictures posed on the tarmac, one influencer left the caption “Fast cars and kaftan dreams… #LYFTxMcLaren.”

It was a nod to another marketing tactic updated for BAT’s new products – F1 sponsorship.

Back on the track

Tobacco advertising on F1 cars has been prohibited since 2006, but BAT and Philip Morris International – Ferrari’s sponsor – technically follow the rules by promoting their nicotine brands or slogans instead.

BAT returned to F1 in 2019 for the first time since the ban was introduced, having previously funded the team British American Racing. The company’s new McLaren sponsorship deal includes Vuse e-cigarette and Velo nicotine pouch branding on drivers’ uniforms and “highly visible” locations on the McLaren cars, alongside its trademarked “A Better Tomorrow” tagline.

The company also sponsors F1 e-sports events that are streamed live on YouTube. Although viewers had to register as over-18 on YouTube to watch, during one tournament several viewers revealed that they were underage.

The sponsorship campaign even stretches to a deal with Rudimental, the drum and bass band, for a series of live streams on the Vuse YouTube channel, the first of which marked the end of the F1 season.

BAT said its partnership with McLaren “is appropriate, responsible, and compliant with all laws and regulations and with our International Marketing Principles”.

The sponsorship splurge and influencer campaign is paying dividends in terms of the brand’s reach and recognition. BAT recently told its investors that it had seen social media engagement grow over the course of the pandemic. It found almost 90% of online mentions of oral nicotine were for Velo/Lyft, and that audience had almost tripled in size compared with the previous year.

Generation game

It is not just aspects of BAT’s marketing that recall an earlier era; so do the products. Despite their on-trend gadget-like appearance, heated tobacco devices like BAT’s Glo have a long history.

The first patent for heated tobacco was filed by Canadian inventor WJ McCormick in 1935. In the 1960s BAT developed devices under codenames including Mad Hatter and Ariel, but it would not be until 1988 that RJ Reynolds, a subsidiary, launched a product to market.

Stephan Risi, the author of an academic paper on project Ariel, claims it was the “moment when a tobacco company first grappled with the idea that they were selling not tobacco or cigarettes but an addictive drug: nicotine”.

Allegedly project Ariel was shelved over fears it would damage cigarette sales. Now, after decades of public health measures have affected cigarette sales, BAT is aggressively marketing heated tobacco and nicotine-only products.

An internal BAT document from 1984 about another experimental product shows the company has long considered how to replace older adult smokers with new customers. Assessing an oral tobacco pouch – similar to Lyft/Velo’s nicotine-only pouches now – the company noted the earning potential of “smokeless products”.

“Anti-smoking propaganda at schools may well mean that the industry cannot expect future generations to take to the smoking habit at the rate of previous ones,” the BAT document reported. “Single-portion smokeless products could provide [us] the opportunity to make new profits rather than cannibalise existing profits from cigarettes.”

Dr Ruediger Krech, director of the department of health promotion at the World Health Organization, said: “The tobacco industry is constantly introducing new products to attract the next generation of addicts to harmful nicotine and tobacco.”

Tobacco companies argue that they are offering heated tobacco to improve public health, as exemplified by BAT’s “A Better Tomorrow” slogan. There is some evidence that heated tobacco is less harmful than cigarettes.

However, experts suggested that rather than leading smokers to less harmful products, some new customers may switch from pouches or heated tobacco to cigarettes.

“Any time you get someone addicted to nicotine they are going to be more likely to use other nicotine delivery products and stick to them if they find them more satisfying to their addiction,” said Eric Lindblom, a former director of tobacco control at the FDA.

In Italy, for example, traditional tobacco use fell every year for the past three decades. That is until 2010 when the introduction of e-cigarettes began driving up demand, said Silvano Gallus, an epidemiologist from the Mario Negri Institute for Pharmacological Research in Milan, Italy.

Gallus added that the arrival of heated tobacco in Italy in 2014 had encouraged young people who would not have otherwise smoked to take up conventional cigarettes.

BAT told the Bureau: “Making adult smokers aware of new products will inevitably mean some non-smokers will also hear about them. However, we believe that it is better for adult consumers who choose to enter the nicotine category, to choose a potentially reduced-risk product, rather than cigarettes.”

Growing concerns

BAT has made no secret of its desire to increase the overall size of the nicotine market. Its own research shows that at least half of adult vapers and those using nicotine pouches were not using nicotine products before.

Thanks to tax breaks, the new products are also more profitable: BAT’s gross margins on Glo heated tobacco and Velo nicotine pouches are 78% and 70% respectively, compared with 67% for cigarettes.

These findings seem to contradict what BAT has said to the FDA in the US, regulators in the European Union, and in its own materials in at least three other countries, which state that the purpose of new products is to provide adult smokers with credible and viable alternatives to smoking.

Across the globe, regulators have struggled to keep pace with the explosion of alternative nicotine products on the market. Many health experts believe that stricter laws are necessary in order to prevent these products from causing net harm to public health.

“Governments need to effectively regulate these products, such as nicotine pouches like they have tobacco products,” said Krech. “Otherwise young people could become addicted to products that have not been out long enough to fully understand the extent of harm.”

Across the world, responses have been mixed. Pakistan’s light-touch approach to nicotine pouches contrasts sharply with the strict regulation being pushed for in Kenya, where officials have expressed concern about how popular they are with young people.

Many countries are likely to take their cue from the US Food & Drug Administration (FDA), as they did with e-cigarettes. The FDA took a tough action against the vape business, Juul, after its marketing was blamed for a teen vaping epidemic.

However, BAT’s rival Philip Morris has recently been celebrating the FDA’s decision to allow its heated tobacco device iQOS to be marketed as a “modified risk tobacco product”. This is thanks in part to research that suggests it reduces exposure to 15 harmful or potentially harmful chemicals when compared to cigarettes.

Despite this, the product is not “FDA approved”. In fact, in its ruling, the FDA stated: “It is important to note that these products are not safe, so people, especially young people, who do not currently use tobacco products should not start using them or any other tobacco product.”

Eric Lindblom believes the agency’s decision to allow several alternative tobacco products to be marketed as a “modified risk” products did not fully consider all their potential harms.

“FDA’s attitude seems to be that we are not allowed to do anything unless we have a crisis,” he said. “They are not willing to shut the barn door until the cows have already escaped, that seems to be their attitude in their [modified risk tobacco product] orders because there are a lot of very reasonable preventive measures they could take that they just have not.”

Lindblom suggests only allowing nicotine products to be marketed at self-declared smokers. “My view is there is certainly a gateway risk and let’s figure out how to close that risk, rather than spend ten years trying to figure out how big and harmful that risk is,” he said. “Let’s just get rid of it through good policies.”

BAT said it is “committed to building A Better Tomorrow by reducing the health impact of our business by offering a greater choice of enjoyable and less risky products for our consumers”.

“Our multi-category approach provides the widest choice of potentially reduced-risk alternative nicotine products to adult smokers who want to switch from cigarettes.”

“This rebrand is just getting to the core of what they have always sold, which is an addictive product that is harmful for your health,” said Taylor Billings of Corporate Accountability.

Cigarettes kill about 15 people every minute; it is not hard to see why a less deadly alternative appeals to Big Tobacco. But former smokers still represent a dwindling market.

“It is not a benefit to the industry that its products kill its users, so if they can claim to have a healthier product that will open the gateway to many people to then try a product. And all of a sudden you have teenagers with nicotine addictions and corporations ready to cash in.”

The next generation

The products marketed by BAT in place of cigarettes

Velo/Lyft – BAT’s flavoured nicotine pouches. They contain no tobacco and can thus fall into a legal grey area.

Vuse/Vype – BAT’s e-cigarette brands, which contain nicotine but no tobacco. Many countries and social media platforms have updated their rules to ban the promotion of e-cigarettes specifically.

Glo and Glo Hyper – BAT’s heated tobacco product, which warms a cigarette-like stick of tobacco inside the device. As a tobacco product, it tends to fall foul of existing regulations.

This article How British American Tobacco sells nicotine to young people appeared first on Campaign Live

Executive Chairman, FIRS Honoured with NSE Digital Closing Gong Ceremony

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The Executive Chairman, Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS), Alhaji Muhammad Mamman Nami engaged with the capital market community and was honoured with The Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) digital Closing Gong ceremony on Friday, 26 February 2021.

Speaking at the event, the Chief Executive Officer, NSE, Mr Oscar N. Onyema, OON, stated that,

“I am delighted to welcome the Executive Chairman, FIRS, Alhaji Muhammad Mamman Nami to this Digital Closing Gong ceremony. The FIRS is saddled with the very important task of assessing, collecting and accounting for tax and other revenues accruing to the Federal Government of Nigeria.

Executive Chairman, FIRS Honoured with NSE Digital Closing Gong Ceremony

I must, therefore, commend the FIRS for its internal revenue assessment and collection efforts for the benefit of our economy, even in these challenging times. As responsible corporate citizens, we at the NSE are proud to be associated with the FIRS and will continue to strengthen our relationship even as we look ahead to our post-demutualisation phase.” 

On his part, Alhaji Nami commented,

“The FIRS has been keenly following the activities and the developments at The Exchange which bear mutual benefits to both institutions. Noteworthy is the demutualisation of the NSE which will undoubtedly promote access to diverse investment opportunities and strengthen investors’ confidence in the capital market.

Furthermore, there is clear evidence that the policies being put in place by the Management of The Exchange are yielding positive results given the impressive performance of the equities market in 2020 despite the COVID-19 pandemic and harsh social and economic conditions.

I assure you that the FIRS will continue to support the positive initiatives of the NSE to improve its operations, achieve its goals and deliver on its mandate.” 

The Exchange has remained resolute in its commitment to provide a platform for stakeholders to engage with the capital market community.

Since the activation of its business continuity plan in March 2020 which led to remote trading and working from home, The Exchange has transitioned many of its events to digital formats – including the Closing Gong ceremony – and continues to maintain seamless operations almost a year later.​

LASACO Assurance Completes Share Capital Reconstruction

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We refer to our market bulletin of 1 February 2021 with reference number: NSE/RD/LRD/MB07/21/02/01, wherein the Market was notified that trading in the shares of LASACO Assurance Plc (LASACO) was placed on full suspension effective Monday, 1 February 2021 as a result of the Company’s proposed share capital reconstruction.

Also refer to the subsequent extension of the suspension communicated to the Market through our market bulletin of 16 February 2021 with reference number: NSE/RD/LRD/MB10/21/02/16.

Lasaco Assurance appoints 2 Non-Executive Directors, Aderinola Disu Resigns

The full suspension placed on trading in the Company’s shares was lifted on Monday, 22 February 2021 following the completion of the share capital reconstruction.

Consequent to the completion of the reconstruction exercise, LASACO’s entire issued share capital of 7,334,343,421 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each at N0.42 per share prior to the share capital reconstruction was delisted from The Nigerian Stock Exchange’s Daily Official List, while the 1,833,585,855 ordinary shares of 50 Kobo each at N1.68 per share arising from the share capital reconstruction were listed on The Exchange’s Daily Official List on the same day.

With the completion of the Company’s share capital reconstruction, the total issued and fully paid-up shares of LASACO Assurance Plc has now reduced from 7,334,343,421 to 1,833,585,855 ordinary shares of 50 kobo each.

Infrastructure Bond: TSL SPV Plc ₦12Bn Bond Listed on NSE

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The N12 Billion 10% Series 1 Senior Guaranteed Fixed Rate Infrastructure Bond Due 2030 under the N50 Billion TSL SPV Plc Bond Issuance were listed on The Nigerian Stock Exchange on Friday, 26 February 2021.

Below are details of the Bonds listed:

Infrastructure Bond Brandspurng TSL SPV Plc ₦12Bn Bond Listed on NSE

Eat ‘N’ Go Promotes CEO

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Franchise owners of Domino’s Pizza, Cold Stone Creamery, and Pinkberry Frozen Yogurt, Eat ‘n’ Go Limited has announced the promotion of its current Chief Executive Officer Patrick McMichael to lead the business group as Group Managing Director and CEO.

In his new role, he will be overseeing all the activities within the group and will further help the company achieve its goals in the Nigerian market.

Eat ‘N’ Go Promotes CEO

McMichael joined Eat’N’Go as CEO in 2018, after nearly 30 years working with Domino’s.

He started out as a trainee manager in Sydney, Australia in 1990, and then got promoted to area supervisor in 1992 and later rose the ranks to managerial levels.

As part of the executive leadership team of Domino’s, McMichael has been the Chief Development and Franchising Officer Australia and New Zeal and Chief Executive Officer of the restaurant’s operations in Indonesia.

McMichael has also had a stake in the business as he was the franchise owner of 10 Domino’s outlets in Australia for ten years.

Since entering the Nigerian market, Eat’N’Go has expanded to over 100 outlets for its three brands, with five more under construction and another 16 going through the approval stage, reports The BBBUZZ.

He recently led the Quick Service Restaurant is reopening its flagship outlet located in Saka Tinubu street, Victoria Island, Lagos, after an unfortunate fire incident last October.

The newly built and refurbished outlet features modern architectural designs, providing consumers with a vibrant and cosy ambience where they can comfortably enjoy their meals.

Meanwhile, the team has announced the opening of its second shop in Kano, along with its northern Nigeria distribution centre.

“Despite all the current challenges our awesome team that I am so proud of have done a fantastic job to deliver this big project.

“We are excited to be a part of the Kano community and continue our expansion in Northern Nigeria,” said Patrick McMichael.

Movies To Watch For Black History Month

It’s the last week of black history month and it feels like this month we had plenty of movies to be excited about. From unconventional love stories like Malcolm & Marie to sobering biopics like Judas and the Black Messiah.

Here is a list of films, both recent and new, that make for great viewing for the last week of black history month.

Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

The film is a powerful send-off for Chadwick Boseman, who plays brilliantly alongside Davis in his final role. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom is a prime example of the plight of Black women fighting for what they deserve, and a Black man’s will to make a place for himself in a world that does not honour his existence.

I Am Not Your Negro

Based on the nonfiction literature of James Baldwin, this documentary illustrates Baldwin’s sharp commentary on the Black experience.

Malcolm & Marie

Zendaya and John David Washington play Marie and Malcolm in this love story that takes place entirely in their home.

Namaste Wahala

An interracial couple faces a new dilemma when their respective parents object to their relationship.

Judas and the Black Messiah

Daniel Kaluuya and LaKeith Stanfield play prominent Black Panther Party members Fred Hampton and William O’Neal.

Movies To Watch For Black History Month Brandspurng

The United States vs. Billie Holiday

The United States vs. Billie Holiday follows the government’s attempt to stifle her voice and influence on Black Americans for fear of an uprising against white communities.

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AB InBev Suffers A Covid-19 Hangover, Predicts 2021 Growth

In the fourth quarter of 2020, AB InBev’s revenue grew by 4.5%, positively impacted by a continued volume recovery and revenue per hl growth of 2.7%. In FY20, revenue declined by 3.7% with revenue per hl growth of 2.1%.

The global brewing giant’s total volumes grew by 1.6%, with own beer volumes up by 1.8% and non-beer volumes up by 1.7%.

In FY20, total volumes declined by 5.7%, with own beer volumes down by 5.8% and non-beer volumes down by 3.8%. The decline was primarily driven by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

KEY PERFORMANCES ACROSS AFRICA MARKETS

In Africa excluding South Africa, the brewer’s business was negatively impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic but it saw resilient consumer demand in many of its markets as restrictions began to ease.

AB InBev delivered healthy volume growth in Mozambique and Zambia this year. Volumes declined in Tanzania and Uganda, as both markets were impacted by an ongoing challenging economic environment.

In Nigeria, AB InBev delivered low single-digit volume growth in FY20 and high single-digit volume growth in 4Q20, driven by successful investments in developing its brand portfolio and enhancing our route-to-market capabilities.

World’s biggest brewer AB InBev scraps dividend despite growth in revenue in Q3

Carlos Brito, CEO Commented,

In an extremely challenging year, our teams rose to the occasion. We finished the year with momentum in our key markets by leveraging our fundamental strengths as a company and capturing the benefits of investments we have been making for several years in our portfolio and rapidly growing platforms, such as BEES and Delivery.

We are now more closely connected than ever to the 6 million+ customers and 2 billion+ consumers we serve worldwide through our clear commercial strategy, revamped innovation process, digital platforms and ongoing operational excellence.

Budweiser ab inbev brandspur9

KEY FIGURES

  • Global Brands: In 4Q20, combined revenues of our global brands increased by 1.5% globally and by 1.3% outside of their respective home markets. In FY20, the combined revenues of our global brands Budweiser, Stella Artois and Corona decreased by 5.0% globally and by 5.3% outside of their respective home markets.
  • Cost of Sales (CoS): In 4Q20, CoS increased by 7.9% and increased by 6.4% on a per hl basis. In FY20, CoS increased by 3.1% and increased by 9.8% on a per hl basis, driven primarily by operational deleveraging resulting from the impact of COVID-19 on our volumes and by supply chain adjustments implemented to meet evolving demand.
  • EBITDA: In 4Q20, EBITDA of 5 066 million USD represents a decrease of 2.4% with an EBITDA margin contraction of 261 bps to 39.7%. In FY20, EBITDA declined by 12.9% to 17 321 million USD and EBITDA margin contracted by 382 bps to 36.9%.
  • Net finance results: Net finance costs (excluding non-recurring net finance results) were 422 million USD in 4Q20, compared to 2 309 million USD in 4Q19. Net finance costs (excluding non-recurring net finance results) were 5 959 million USD in FY20 compared to 4 355 million USD in FY19. The increase in FY20 was primarily driven by a mark-to-market loss of 1 211 million USD linked to the hedging of our share-based payment programs compared to a gain of 898 million USD in FY19, resulting in a swing of 2 109 million USD.
  • Income taxes: In 4Q20, our normalized effective tax rate (ETR) increased from 24.5% in 4Q19 to 24.8%. Excluding the impact of gains and losses relating to the hedging of our share-based payment programs, our normalized ETR was 29.4% in 4Q20, compared to 17.2% in 4Q19. Normalized ETR increased from 23.0% in FY19 to 30.9% in FY20 and, excluding the impact of gains and losses relating to the hedging of our share-based payment programs, normalized ETR increased from 24.9% in FY19 to 26.2% in FY20.
  • Non-recurring items: Normalized EBIT excludes negative non-recurring items of 215 million USD in 4Q20 and 1 184 million USD in FY20.
  • Profit: Normalized profit attributable to equity holders of AB InBev was 2 154 million USD in 4Q20, compared to 962 million USD in 4Q19 and 3 807 million USD in FY20 versus 8 086 million USD in FY19. Underlying profit (normalized profit attributable to equity holders of AB InBev excluding mark-to-market gains and losses linked to the hedging of our share-based payment programs and the impact of hyperinflation) was 1 616 million USD in 4Q20, compared to 1 729 million USD in 4Q19 and was 5 022 million USD in FY20 compared to 7 196 million USD in FY19.
  • Earnings per share (EPS): Normalized EPS in 4Q20, was 1.08 USD, an increase from 0.48 USD in 4Q19. Normalized EPS in FY20 was 1.91 USD, a decrease from 4.08 USD in FY19. Underlying EPS (normalized EPS excluding mark-to-market gains and losses linked to the hedging of our share-based payment programs and the impact of hyperinflation) was 0.81 USD in 4Q20, a decrease from 0.87 USD in 4Q19 and was 2.51 USD in FY20, a decrease from 3.63 USD in FY19.
  • Dividend: The AB InBev Board proposes the full year 2020 dividend of 0.50 EUR per share, subject to shareholder approval at the AGM on 28 April 2021. A timeline showing the ex-coupon dates, the record dates and the payment dates can be found on page 21.
  • Deleveraging: Net debt to normalized EBITDA was 4.8x for the 12-month period ending 31 December 2020, as our results were substantially impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic.

South Africa

Multiple alcohol bans impacted performance, though underlying consumer demand remains strong

Our business in South Africa was significantly impacted by three outright government-mandated bans on the sale of alcohol over the course of 2020, which resulted in double-digit volume, revenue and EBITDA declines, and significant EBITDA margin contraction.

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Outside of these bans, we saw solid underlying consumer demand for our portfolio throughout the year, resulting in estimated market share gains in both beer and total alcohol.

In 4Q20, we delivered low single-digit top and bottom-line growth with EBITDA margin expansion. Volumes declined slightly in the quarter, as the government instituted a third alcohol ban on 29 December 2020, affecting a key selling week for beer.

Revenue per hl grew by low single digits in both FY20 and 4Q20, driven primarily by revenue management initiatives. This was partially offset by the brand mix as consumers shifted to more affordable brands and bulk returnable packages, particularly benefitting our core brands, such as Carling Black Label.

Our flavoured alcohol beverages, Brutal Fruit and Flying Fish, outperformed this year, reinforcing the advantages of a diverse brand portfolio to meet consumer needs across styles and price points.

 

Cadbury Nigeria Rewards Bourn Factor Season 2 Winners (Photos)

Cadbury Nigeria, a part of Mondelēz International, and producers of the iconic Bournvita, a cocoa beverage drink, has rewarded the top three winning schools in the second edition of the Bourn Factor School Talent Hunt Competition, which took place nationwide, in 2020.

The winners were unveiled at a media parley held at the Company’s head office in Lagos, recently. Divine Promotion Nursery and Primary School in Ile-Ife, Osun State, won the grand prize of N3million.

Bournfactor Image Option 3 - Brandspurng Cadbury Nigeria rewards Bourn Factor Season 2 winners
Mrs. Oyeyimika Adeboye, Managing Director, Cadbury Nigeria (centre right) and the Cadbury Nigeria Bourn Factor team – Tolulope Olaoye, Innovations Manager, Cadbury West Africa (left) and Chioma Nwichi, Category Brand Manager, Cocoa Beverages (next right), Frederick Mordi, Corporate Communication and Government Affairs Manager, West Africa (right) and Akin Fajembimo, National Sales Manager, Cadbury Nigeria (next left) – with prize winners of the 2nd edition of The Bourn-Factor School Talent Competition – at the prize-giving ceremony within the Cadbury premises in Lagos, yesterday. | www.wordpress-1516176-5827464.cloudwaysapps.com

Success Foundation Academy in Abeokuta, Ogun State, which came second, won N2million, while Potter and Clay Schools in Ilesha, Osun State, in the third position, won N1 million.

During the prize presentation, Mrs. Oyeyimika Adeboye, Managing Director, Cadbury Nigeria, said one of the Company’s values is to “love our consumers and our brands,” adding that the organisation has continued to seek numerous ways to demonstrate this.

Bournfactor Image Option 1 - Brandspurng Cadbury Nigeria rewards Bourn Factor Season 2 winners
Mrs. Oyeyimika Adeboye, Managing Director, Cadbury Nigeria (centre right) with prize winners of the 2nd edition of The Bourn-Factor School Talent Competition – Divine Promotion Nursery and Primary School in Ile-Ife, Osun State (1st prize (centre left); Success Foundation Academy in Abeokuta, Ogun State (2nd prize (far right); Potter and Clay Schools in Ilesha, Osun State (3rd prize – far left) – at the prize-giving ceremony within the Cadbury premises in Lagos, yesterday. | www.wordpress-1516176-5827464.cloudwaysapps.com

“The Bourn Factor initiative was launched in 2019 to enable children from different primary schools across the country showcase their talents, compete, and win prizes for their schools, while raising money towards a social cause,” she said.

Mrs. Adeboye added that the initiative was in line with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) that seek to build sustainable communities. “Last year, we worked with the first prize winner to set up an Information and Communication Technology (ICT) facility for their school.”

Bournfactor Image Option 2 - Brandspurng Cadbury Nigeria rewards Bourn Factor Season 2 winners
Tolulope Olaoye, Innovations Manager, Cadbury West Africa (right) and Chioma Nwichi, Category Brand Manager, Cocoa Beverages (left), with prize winners of 2nd edition of The Bourn-Factor School Talent Competition – Divine Promotion Nursery and Primary School in Ile-Ife, Osun State (1st prize (centre); Success Foundation Academy in Abeokuta, Ogun State (2nd prize (centre right); and Clay Schools in Ilesha, Osun State (3rd prize – centre left), at the prize-giving ceremony within the Cadbury premises in Lagos, yesterday. | www.wordpress-1516176-5827464.cloudwaysapps.com

“We helped the second prize winner to renovate their school premises and worked with the third winning school to set up a play ground and a borehole. This year, we will partner with all the three wining schools to achieve their goals, adding that “We will also donate products to orphanages chosen by the winning schools. This will inculcate in the children, the habit of selfless giving.”

Mrs. Adeboye thanked all the schools that participated in the competition and noted that the winners represent millions of talented Nigerian children. She enjoined teachers and parents to continue to support Nigerian children in nurturing their talents and building their dreams.

Earlier in his remarks, Tolu Olaoye, the Innovations Manager, Cadbury West Africa, expressed delight with the level of participation of the schools, despite the irregularities in school calendars, caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

“This, for us, is the kind of resilience we are seeking to achieve, teaching the younger ones how to persevere,” he said.

According to the statement, which was issued by Frederick Mordi, the Company’s Corporate Communications and Government Affairs Manager for West Africa, the competition is one of the several brand touch points that Bournvita is using to connect with children across the country.

Consumer confidence sees a modest improvement in January amid a deadlier second wave of COVID-19.

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KASI’s global CCI improved by a single point in January driven by advancement in the index of current economic conditions which moved up by 4 points while the index of future expectations remained unchanged.

The job prospects index witnessed the largest gain in January rising by 8 points. The household income and the general economic conditions indices for the city and country all increased by 1 point. On the contrary, both the household spending and discretionary spending indices stumbled by 2 points while the household personal financial situation index fell by 3 points

Cameroon, Nigeria, South Africa, and Tanzania all witnessed gains in their indices with Tanzania’s CCI recording the largest expansion of 7 points. Meanwhile, consumer sentiment in Ghana, Ivory Coast, and Kenya deteriorated with Ivory Coast’s CCI declining furthest by 5 points.

Consumer confidence sees a modest improvement in January amid a deadlier second wave of COVID-19 Brandsurng1

Consumer confidence in Africa had a modest improvement rising by 1 point from 4 to 5 for the 1st month of the year. As the index of future expectations stalled at 14 from the previous month, this improvement in the CCI can be fully attributed to the index of current economic conditions which grew by 4 points climbing to -19 from -23.

The experience in recent months has been mixed for African households. Governments have taken diverse approaches in managing their countries depending on the Covid-19 situation. In Ghana, for example, the government reintroduced measures in January due to rising cases including restricting restaurants to operate only on a take-away basis.

Consumer confidence sees a modest improvement in January amid a deadlier second wave of COVID-19 Brandspurng

At the same time, governments in countries like Kenya and Nigeria have fully reopened schools as the Covid-19 situation is not as dire as that in some of their counterparts.

Furthermore, the emergence of Covid-19 mutations from South Africa and the United Kingdom that are considered to be more deadly has meant that individuals from these countries, or those transiting through these countries, have been banned from entering certain countries or face stricter restrictions.

All these occurrences have elicited varied feelings within African households.

According to the Africa CDC, as of 19th February 2021, the number of Covid-19 infections in the continent stood at 3,796,354 with 100,294 deaths and 3,346,404 recoveries.

Households report optimism on their job prospects while discretionary spending subsides after picking up pace in the last quarter of 2020.

The mixed perception of the state of the economy is also reflected in the various sub-indices focusing on the economic and financial situation for households.

After slipping by a single point in December, the job prospects index rebounded by 8 points in January from -51 to -43 which is the highest level recorded since the outbreak of the pandemic in March last year.

Similarly, the general economic condition indices for both the city and country and the household income index all bounced back by 1 point after sliding in December.

Whereas the personal financial situation and discretionary spending indices heightened towards the end of 2020, this trend failed to be maintained in 2021 as both indices shrunk by 3 and 2 points respectively.

With the Christmas shopping season concluding, households’ reduced expenditure on discretionary goods hence leading to the weakening of the discretionary spending index which had experienced growth in the last quarter of 2020. Negative momentum was also reported for the purchasing power index which contracted by 2 points in January.

Consumer confidence in Ivory Coast slides amid expected setbacks in its cocoa sector while Tanzania’s consumer confidence bounces back

Akin to last month, consumer confidence across the countries tracked in our index was varied. Consumer confidence in Cameroon, Nigeria, South Africa, and Tanzania heightened in January with Tanzania being the best performer as its index progressed by 7 points from 24 to 31 after shrinking in December.

The boost in Tanzania’s consumer sentiment can be attributed to both the index of future expectations and the index of current economic conditions which strengthened by 6 and 11 points respectively. Apart from the discretionary spending index that fell by 4 points, all the other sub-indices for Tanzania advanced.

The biggest increase was in the job prospects index which surged by 26 points attaining its highest level of 7, last recorded in February 2020. Household personal financial situation and income indices rose by 3 and 10 points respectively while the purchasing power index increased by 5 points.

Finally, Tanzania’s general economic condition indices for the city and country climbed by 5 and 7 points respectively. While the recovery in consumer sentiment is a good sign for the Tanzanian economy, the country’s Covid-19 situation is bleak. Communication on the Covid-19 numbers by the government has been absent since April 2020.

Moreover, the various protocols to prevent the spreading of the virus are lacking. As such, governments across the world have issued travel warnings to Tanzania as Covid-19 cases and related deaths have grown significantly in recent months.

For Ghana, Ivory Coast, and Kenya, their consumer sentiment backpedalled in January. The largest drop in consumer confidence was in Ivory Coast which regressed by 5 points after growing in December.

This reversal in Ivory Coast’s consumer sentiment is fully attributed to the index of future expectations which withered by 7 points while the index of current economic conditions increased by a point. Ivory Coast’s indices on economic conditions for the city and country fell by 6 and 9 points respectively.

Additionally, its household income, personal financial situation, and purchasing power indices dwindled by 8, 6, and 10 points respectively. Ivory Coast’s discretionary spending index stagnated while its job prospects index moved up by 2 points.

In January, the European Union announced that it is expected to ratify laws aimed at environmental protection and the mitigation of child labour in cocoa production later in 2021.

While this is positive news for Ivory Coast’s social protection, it may not go well for cocoa production especially as Ivory Coast is one of the world’s top exporters of cocoa with Europe being the biggest destination for the country’s cocoa exports.

The possibility of stricter laws applied to its cocoa production may have affected consumers’ future expectations of the economy hence driving down consumer confidence.

Retailers in the discretionary goods space face a slump in sales with the holiday shopping season concluding

The modest improvement in the continent’s consumer confidence index suggests that there is some optimism within African households.

However, the disparity of consumer sentiment across the various countries implies that the positive outlook is not uniform across the continent, and as such, instead of looking at the continent’s overall outlook, businesses must also examine the consumer outlook at the country level.

What is clear from January’s data is the fact that retailers in the discretionary goods space will face a slump in their sales given that the Christmas holiday shopping season is over and households have reported a reduction in discretionary spending as illustrated by the discretionary spending index.

“With the performance of consumer sentiment differing across countries, there is no universal picture that can be painted for retailers operating in Africa. Retailers will need to consider the context within which they operate and make decisions based on these considerations as well as their organizational strategy and objectives.”

By Davies Nyachieng’a, Economic Intelligence Group at KASI.